When they say efficacy in all that, are they talking about in preventing infections, preventing death or what else could it be? Unsure what they're measuring...At this point I think we can put the 90% efficacy claim of the mRNA vaccines to bed. They clearly are not.
Unless someone has updated data suggesting covid has an R0 above 4, the data I have suggests it is between 2.5-4. This means we would have heard immunity at 60-75% of the population being innocculated.
We have 75% of the people inoculated with vaccines + some unvaccinated prior infections I would wager, so by all means we should be at heard immunity and the push for vaccinations should be over. This is true for most of the country.
Vaccines rarely reach more than 50% of our population - that would be a good year for the flu shot.
The MMR shot that we have been mandating in schools since the 1950s (and does have a near 90% efficacy actually) and only needs one course in a lifetime, no boosters, has reached 90% of our population.
Shots that we have been working on for decades, like the flu shot, have an efficacy in the 40% range.
I remember being very doubtful they would even find a vax for covid for a few years in 2020.
Yet in 9 months they found one, tested it, and it had a 90% efficacy....and then they found another and a other? For a novel virus we had never seen. Nothing is impossible...but geez, why don't these people work on the problems we already have if they can do this?
The early Pfizer data was criticized as showing efficacy around 30%...I am not sure more data was released ever...but it seems to be in line with all other rational expectations.
Then we have the death rates, which are higher since we have had the 3 vaccines and continue to rise, with talk of mask mandates slowly surfacing. However you feel about masks, social distancing and hand washing - it was more effective than the vaccines have shown to be by any rational analysis.
When they say efficacy in all that, are they talking about in preventing infections, preventing death or what else could it be? Unsure what they're measuring...
Wait, I was just wondering what they are claiming as "efficacy".I would be willing to debate that line - except we have had more deaths while the population has been vaccinated than prior. To say it prevents deaths is hard to defend unless people are completely unopen to rational discussion about this, which many are not.
Unless you want to claim that Covid suddenly became 3x as deadly in unvaccinated people since others have become vaccinated....at which poi t the ethics of vaccinating yourself become an issue because why should I be allowed to push the burden off of myself if I have something and onto another who does not?
For what its worth, I had Covid back in November of 2020 and had some pretty crippling anxiety from January on to about September of this year. Not once had an issue before covid. Anxiety is still there but not nearly as bad
I read something a few months back that a high percentage of people who recovered from covid report new mental health issues that weren't present before
I gotcha. I'm full blown hypochondriac now as well. Not fun.
According to this data, a much lower percentage of vaccinated individuals are dying from covid, compared to unvaccinated individuals.Possibility of testing positive despite vaccination is well established now. But what percentage of those fully vaccinated are hospitalized or die?
According to this data, a much lower percentage of vaccinated individuals are dying from covid, compared to unvaccinated individuals.
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I think those numbers are pretty well accepted here, that best case scenario the vaccine has no side effects and lessons your symptoms when all things go right.
I think the lingering questions are still what percentage of those receiving the vax do have side effects, and what are the long term effects of it.
We have also finally got to a point in society where we recognize that vaccinated individuals have a higher viral load than unvaccinated (per CDC) and are equally too, or more contagious than unvaccinated. again, best case scenario would be that vaccination leads to milder symptoms and less hospitalization.
Listening to a Layne Norton podcast this morning he mentioned how everyone knows a smoker who lived a long and full life smoking a pack a day without issue, despite the health warnings we all heed, but he identified that person as the weird outlier and not normalcy.
It made me think of COVID. Now someone like Ricky sees tons of mortality of course because of his line of work unfortunately but for many of us, the number of people that we see who are actually dying of covid are outliers, realistically speaking.
Wait, I was just wondering what they are claiming as "efficacy".
my father in law [RIP] was fond of saying..'who the hell are 'they'. ART was a great guy, really miss him.Yes, sorry...that wasn't really geared toward you the way it came out ....more the proverbial you or, "one" as in, if one wants to say this or that.
I suppose anything is possible around the country, but we test every single person upon admission, and every 4 days subsequent to that for as long as they remain in the hospital. Regardless of vaccination status.@Ricky10 when you guys have patients admitted, so all get tested for covid regardless of vaccination status? One dr was saying last week, I think it was Peter McCullough, that if a patient is admitted to the hospital and says they are vaccinated they are often times not tested for the 'rona while an unvaccinated individual is 100% always tested regardless of why either person came in
And comparing those potential statistics to unvaccinated patients that overcome a COVID infection but then complain of lingering and long term side effects.I think the lingering questions are still what percentage of those receiving the vax do have side effects, and what are the long term effects of it.
I have seen this vaccinated vs unvaccinated viral load issue mentioned a few times in this thread, but I can’t seem to find where people are getting this from. Per CDC? Does it have anything to do with the study referenced here?We have also finally got to a point in society where we recognize that vaccinated individuals have a higher viral load than unvaccinated (per CDC) and are equally too, or more contagious than unvaccinated. again, best case scenario would be that vaccination leads to milder symptoms and less hospitalization.
Yes, I am definitely in a situation where I see the worst of the worst. While some people may be unfazed by reports of over 800,000 total deaths in the US being attributed to COVID (which actually seems inaccurately low to me), there are certainly many more people than that who were critically ill and endured a living hell. Personally, I’d rather be dead than to go through what some survivors have been through.It made me think of COVID. Now someone like Ricky sees tons of mortality of course because of his line of work unfortunately but for many of us, the number of people that we see who are actually dying of covid are outliers, realistically speaking.
No, that is definitely new to me! I looked it up a bit as well, and apparently fluvoxamine isn’t the only SSRI that has been looked at. I will say though, antidepressants aren’t all fun and games themselves, and could be a tough sell to patients regardless@Ricky10 i see where harvard health says that the anti-depression drug fluvoxamine is getting good results, but the FDA says there is insufficient evidence to approve it for covid treatment--why not try it and see? it has a long track history of being safe.
you ever hear of using fluxoximine @Ricky10
Oh trust me. Literally everyone we are currently treating in my hospital with COVID PNA is unvaccinated. I keep thinking I will come across at least one that was vaccinated, but it just doesn’t happen these days.According to this data, a much lower percentage of vaccinated individuals are dying from covid, compared to unvaccinated individuals.
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I have seen this vaccinated vs unvaccinated viral load issue mentioned a few times in this thread, but I can’t seem to find where people are getting this from. Per CDC? Does it have anything to do with the study referenced here?
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According to this data, a much lower percentage of vaccinated individuals are dying from covid, compared to unvaccinated individuals.
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Oh trust me. Literally everyone we are currently treating in my hospital with COVID PNA is unvaccinated. I keep thinking I will come across at least one that was vaccinated, but it just doesn’t happen these days.
It’s a very sad state of affairs to see so many sick/dying people who would have very likely stayed out of the hospital if they had chosen differently.
my father in law [RIP] was fond of saying..'who the hell are 'they'. ART was a great guy, really miss him.
kamala harris refuses to blame unvaccinated for the continuing covid pandemic in contrast to biden.
'i don't think this is a time to talk about fault. it's no one's fault that this virus hit our shores or the world..it's more about individual power and responsibility and the decisions that everyone has the choice to make'.
i have to admit i was very pleasantly surprised to hear this from harris.
I suppose anything is possible around the country, but we test every single person upon admission, and every 4 days subsequent to that for as long as they remain in the hospital. Regardless of vaccination status.
And comparing those potential statistics to unvaccinated patients that overcome a COVID infection but then complain of lingering and long term side effects.
I have seen this vaccinated vs unvaccinated viral load issue mentioned a few times in this thread, but I can’t seem to find where people are getting this from. Per CDC? Does it have anything to do with the study referenced here?
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Yes, I am definitely in a situation where I see the worst of the worst. While some people may be unfazed by reports of over 800,000 total deaths in the US being attributed to COVID (which actually seems inaccurately low to me), there are certainly many more people than that who were critically ill and endured a living hell. Personally, I’d rather be dead than to go through what some survivors have been through.
So to say people dying of COVID are outliers is obviously true. It’s also true that a majority of people won’t be killed in a car accident on any given day on their drive in to work. Does this mean people without prior immunity should abandon or disregard the layers of protection offered from a vaccine or a seatbelt (in the case of a vehicle) that will greatly reduce the likelihood of them finding themselves in the bed of an ICU?
Why are people in most states required under law to wear seat belts….why do we care? And why do people generally not care that it is a law? After all, the force applied to the body by the restraining effect of the belt is considerable and increases the chance of intra-abdominal injuries. So that is a known potential risk of wearing a seat belt.
These aren’t all comments/thoughts directed toward you specifically
No, that is definitely new to me! I looked it up a bit as well, and apparently fluvoxamine isn’t the only SSRI that has been looked at. I will say though, antidepressants aren’t all fun and games themselves, and could be a tough sell to patients regardless![]()

I have seen this vaccinated vs unvaccinated viral load issue mentioned a few times in this thread, but I can’t seem to find where people are getting this from. Per CDC? Does it have anything to do with the study referenced here?
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kamala harris refuses to blame unvaccinated for the continuing covid pandemic in contrast to biden.
'i don't think this is a time to talk about fault. it's no one's fault that this virus hit our shores or the world..it's more about individual power and responsibility and the decisions that everyone has the choice to make'.
i have to admit i was very pleasantly surprised to hear this from harris.
She's the most hated VP in our history working under one of the most hated presidents in our history, My guess is she's trying to play politician finally and figure out how to get her approval rating back up.
Oh trust me. Literally everyone we are currently treating in my hospital with COVID PNA is unvaccinated. I keep thinking I will come across at least one that was vaccinated, but it just doesn’t happen these days.
It’s a very sad state of affairs to see so many sick/dying people who would have very likely stayed out of the hospital if they had chosen differently.
I guess Japan's government won't force vaccines, and encourages their people not to discriminate against the unvaccinated
Japan does early treatment right?
Also in case anyone didn’t know the US is by far and away the worst in the world with deaths per 100,000. Like next closest is around half and many others less than that.
Yeah I think Japan was one of the first to take ivm seriously while we were still calling it horse dewormer over here.
The graph is a 6 month snapshot of death rates of the vaxxed and unvaxxed. Given the seasonal nature of infection and death rates we have observed so far, we would need to compare death rates year over year to get a more informative picture. If death rates were 2/100k in April '20, or 3.7/100k in October '20 then it would mean the unvaxxed aren't dying at a higher rate. Additionally, if it is found that death rates have indeed increased among the unvaccinated, then many factors would need to be analyzed to determine the reason(s). Correlation does not necessarily indicate causation.This graph clearly indicates a potential moral issue with getting vaccinated - why are the unvaccinated suddenly dying at such high rates, well above where they were dying prior to the advent of any vaccine? I mean, if we are to believe the vaccines are 90% effective - then the unvaccinated population is dying at 10-15X the rate prior to vaccinations.
These are the three balls we need to keep our eyes on. Practically everything else is just a distraction.I feel like our country has us fighting over efficacy of vaccinated vs not vaccinated instead of the much more interesting IMO of
1. Do we want the precedent of mandates
2. Early treatment vs vaccinated
3. Why were we funding the Wuhan lab? Will anyone be held responsible?
The graph is a 6 month snapshot of death rates of the vaxxed and unvaxxed. Given the seasonal nature of infection and death rates we have observed so far, we would need to compare death rates year over year to get a more informative picture. If death rates were 2/100k in April '20, or 3.7/100k in October '20 then it would mean the unvaxxed aren't dying at a higher rate. Additionally, if it is found that death rates have indeed increased among the unvaccinated, then many factors would need to be analyzed to determine the reason(s). Correlation does not necessarily indicate causation.
I feel like our country has us fighting over efficacy of vaccinated vs not vaccinated instead of the much more interesting IMO of
1. Do we want the precedent of mandates
2. Early treatment vs vaccinated
3. Why were we funding the Wuhan lab? Will anyone be held responsible?
I’m sure there is many more. I’m just trying to make a conscious effort to not get stuck in this false dichotomy very powerful people, likely responsible for this whole thing, gave us to argue around.
One of the easiest ways to control a population is to control the perimeters of the conversation.
We do good here on AM, but much of the world is stuck and I will take responsibility that I fall for the trap at times too. Lucky we still have places like here for real conversations.
The graph is a 6 month snapshot of death rates of the vaxxed and unvaxxed. Given the seasonal nature of infection and death rates we have observed so far, we would need to compare death rates year over year to get a more informative picture. If death rates were 2/100k in April '20, or 3.7/100k in October '20 then it would mean the unvaxxed aren't dying at a higher rate. Additionally, if it is found that death rates have indeed increased among the unvaccinated, then many factors would need to be analyzed to determine the reason(s). Correlation does not necessarily indicate causation.
trust me i have no love for kamala, but i try to give credit where it is due...for kamala to go against everything biden and his admin have been saying about the unvaccinated was very refreshing to hear, regardless of her motives i enjoyed hearing someone in the biden admin speak about the unvaccinated without bashing them.She's the most hated VP in our history working under one of the most hated presidents in our history, My guess is she's trying to play politician finally and figure out how to get her approval rating back up.
glad you are feeling better!!!Well I finally contracted Covid last Wed on the Xmas works night out in Canterbury (UK). Felt crap a few days after put that down to just a hangover having not drank alcohol in ages but come Sunday I started coughing and feeling spaced out. Monday at work was hell and in the afternoon it felt like my lungs were being set on fire...the pain between my shoulder blades was excruciating and by the evening I was coughing up the familiar illuminous looking phelgm of infection. Fatigue and more coughing up crap yesterday and today felt alot better with no temp, hardly any phelgm at all if any...just dull headache, spaced out and a mouth ulcer.
I had my 3rd vaccine end of November. Here in the UK it's being reported within the NHS that 9 out of 10 hospital admissions are unvaccinated...obviously no way of actually telling if true but its accepted the majority are. People shouldn't be threatened or coerced into having a vaccine, it should be a personal choice. But i'll just say from my personal experience over last 4 days makes me glad I did have them, as this **** is weird and in 46 years I haven't experienced the same feeling when ill....the speed and different changing symptoms.
I agree with you that these deaths are not an outlier and that it comes down to a risk/reward analysis.
The issue is we only have the math on one side of the analysis - the other math is kind of a guessing game. But I'm not saying we don't sometimes have to make best guesses either.
As to the quoted part above, I wonder how that squares with the Swiss graph in the link provided by Nodus1:
This graph clearly indicates a potential moral issue with getting vaccinated - why are the unvaccinated suddenly dying at such high rates, well above where they were dying prior to the advent of any vaccine? I mean, if we are to believe the vaccines are 90% effective - then the unvaccinated population is dying at 10-15X the rate prior to vaccinations.
This suggests, possibly, that the vaccinated population are still carrying a heavy viral load - possibly heavier than an unvaccinated person - and are thus more infectious and are essentially wiping out the unvaccinated people like a German with a mustache.
To use your apt seatbelt analogy - if I have a seatbelt and higher chance of surviving an accident - does it make it alright for me to ram my car into others because, well, they should have their seatbelt on as well? (Few analogies are perfect and this question has flaws as well...just pointing out another angle because I like the analogy)
At some point though, the vaccine becomes a vector for genocide if the situation is as being described (which I am skeptical of)
This is sad and may be evidence the vaccine helps those with it - but have you seen any decrease in these patients over the past year? Or are these cases ramping up right now? Because in New England, only 1 out of 4 people is unvaccinated - many of which I would assume are pretty young due to how the vaccines were rolled out - so if you remove 3/4 of the population from the sample, the number of deaths should fall dramatically - unless the death rate increases in the 1/4 remaining.
I know you understand this, and I know you're just recounting what you see in an honest fashion - so these questions are just for more analysis/conversation. Your insight is always helpful.
Could the answer for this simply boil down to how much risk of death increases with the delta variant compared to the original strain? I see that the changing landscape of the pandemic due to the emergence of new variants has largely been passed over in this discussion. From a quick glance it appears as though the Delta variant is upwards of 130% more likely to lead to death compared to the original strain. This seems to me like it's a much more likely explanation for increased fatality rates at the moment compared to blaming viral shedding rates of the vaccinated members of the population.
Among delta cases, they found a 108 per cent increased risk for hospitalization, 235 per cent increased risk for ICU admission and 133 per cent increased risk for death compared to the original virus strain.
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moderna has made $35 billion off covid vaccines-so far!!!
There is a much more simpler reason behind this than "the biden admin"as of march 2021 APM Research Lab reports that pacific islander, latino, indigenous and black americans all have a covid-19 death rate of double or more than that of white and asian americans, who experience the lowest age-adjusted rates.
i wonder why minorities aren't pissed at the biden admin for not doing more to save the lives of minorities--along with the lives of ALL AMERICANS.
Well I finally contracted Covid last Wed on the Xmas works night out in Canterbury (UK). Felt crap a few days after put that down to just a hangover having not drank alcohol in ages but come Sunday I started coughing and feeling spaced out. Monday at work was hell and in the afternoon it felt like my lungs were being set on fire...the pain between my shoulder blades was excruciating and by the evening I was coughing up the familiar illuminous looking phelgm of infection. Fatigue and more coughing up crap yesterday and today felt alot better with no temp, hardly any phelgm at all if any...just dull headache, spaced out and a mouth ulcer.
I had my 3rd vaccine end of November. Here in the UK it's being reported within the NHS that 9 out of 10 hospital admissions are unvaccinated...obviously no way of actually telling if true but its accepted the majority are. People shouldn't be threatened or coerced into having a vaccine, it should be a personal choice. But i'll just say from my personal experience over last 4 days makes me glad I did have them, as this **** is weird and in 46 years I haven't experienced the same feeling when ill....the speed and different changing symptoms.
How many days in are you now? Are you taking supplements like high dose C to assist?Cheers mate.
One other symptom to report. After eating dinner last night it felt the whole jaw area and cheek bones were aching like hell all the way up to my head. Like I said the amount of symptoms is odd with this thing.
I hope everyone has a Merry Xmas and good health![]()
Come on man the over the top Biden hate is getting ridiculous here. Covid-19 death rates have been much higher for visible minorities throughout the entire pandemic right from the beginning. There are various socio-economic factors at play here that will continue to exist whoever the president of the day happens to be at any present moment. Things like availability of quality healthcare (it's no surprise that lower income Americans receive far worse health care than higher income earners) and exposure rates due to nature of employment (service industry workers like grocery store workers and industrial jobs like packing plant workers have both been hit very hard) are both major factors. Add in the fact that the poorer class of Americans are more likely to live in crowded conditions and also more likely to have chronic health conditions and you have an unfortunate recipe for increased covid-19 fatality rates.as of march 2021 APM Research Lab reports that pacific islander, latino, indigenous and black americans all have a covid-19 death rate of double or more than that of white and asian americans, who experience the lowest age-adjusted rates.
i wonder why minorities aren't pissed at the biden admin for not doing more to save the lives of minorities--along with the lives of ALL AMERICANS.
Could the answer for this simply boil down to how much risk of death increases with the delta variant compared to the original strain? I see that the changing landscape of the pandemic due to the emergence of new variants has largely been passed over in this discussion. From a quick glance it appears as though the Delta variant is upwards of 130% more likely to lead to death compared to the original strain. This seems to me like it's a much more likely explanation for increased fatality rates at the moment compared to blaming viral shedding rates of the vaccinated members of the population.
Among delta cases, they found a 108 per cent increased risk for hospitalization, 235 per cent increased risk for ICU admission and 133 per cent increased risk for death compared to the original virus strain.
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Well I finally contracted Covid last Wed on the Xmas works night out in Canterbury (UK). Felt crap a few days after put that down to just a hangover having not drank alcohol in ages but come Sunday I started coughing and feeling spaced out. Monday at work was hell and in the afternoon it felt like my lungs were being set on fire...the pain between my shoulder blades was excruciating and by the evening I was coughing up the familiar illuminous looking phelgm of infection. Fatigue and more coughing up crap yesterday and today felt alot better with no temp, hardly any phelgm at all if any...just dull headache, spaced out and a mouth ulcer.
I had my 3rd vaccine end of November. Here in the UK it's being reported within the NHS that 9 out of 10 hospital admissions are unvaccinated...obviously no way of actually telling if true but its accepted the majority are. People shouldn't be threatened or coerced into having a vaccine, it should be a personal choice. But i'll just say from my personal experience over last 4 days makes me glad I did have them, as this **** is weird and in 46 years I haven't experienced the same feeling when ill....the speed and different changing symptoms.
moderna has made $35 billion off covid vaccines-so far!!!