CDB
Registered User
BioHazzard said:Look, obviously you don't understand how things are done in the real world. Sorry, but I don't know (and probably don't really care) how to say that nicely.![]()
UInfortunately, Bio, the things you are paraphrasing are the end result of pie in the sky mathematical economists who rarely get their heads out of their theories long enough to see if their precious models actually work. And when they do thei either tweak the model and claim success or berate people for not acting in according with their model, the latter being the usual provice of game theorists. The Austrian school of economics is the only school of economics that has built its analysis of the economy soley on how people behave and act in "the real world."
I don't really care to argue point by point, as there is nothing in it for me. I tried but decided that it costs too much of my time. I am not getting any returns from it.I am fvcking spending effort to enlighten you so you may have a better understanding of the business and economy. Bad deal as there is nothing in it for me..
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Last time you were in a position to have a network of informants that gave you mass access to foreign affairs information, now you're a CEO. Need a new tinfoil hat?
Just about everything you asserted, simply doesn't work that way in the business world. Don't take my words for it. Readers can go find out for themselves.
Actually, it does work that way in the real world. It is the cry of most modern economists that it doesn't work that way because if they admit it did work that it would severely hinder their ability to get cushy government jobs managing and predicting the economy. And so they forever tweak their models, forever missing the mark but always claiming success because every time they miss, they tweak and then, having perfectly 'predicted' the past, they claim success. A claim which holds until their next failure which is usually pretty quick.
When you have created your trading model, let us know how it goes. You are free to take this advice or ignore it. Don't waste time focusing on the money supply in the US. If you want to examine monetary factors, then look into the international arena. Its influence has long eclipsed that of US domestic MS. The FED is no longer running the show.
When did I say the money supply in the US is our only concern? Only dealing with domestic money supply was a currency school fallacy that Mises dealt with at the beginning of the last century. Finding reliable monetary figures is hard especially when half of them include nonmonetary factors. AMS is the only real measure and I can't find a reliable source for those figures right now that doesn't cost an arm and a leg. And that's for US figures. Good luck finding such information of foreign markets.