What's your COVID-19 gameplan?

Admin said:
"While Covid-19 deaths across the state have begun to level off, the “number of lives lost is still breathtakingly tragic,” Cuomo said. The state’s mortality rates remains persistently high, at 7.4% with at least 19,453 fatalities and 263,754 confirmed cases, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. The antibody testing indicates that the actual death rate is far lower, less than 1%, Cuomo said."


Yay science.
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You left this part out.

The testing results also may be artificially high because “these are people who were out and about shopping,” Cuomo added. “They were not people who were in their home, they were not people isolated, they were not people who were quarantined who you could argue probably had a lower rate of infection because they wouldn’t come out of the house.”

That still doesn't speak to those whom can have it and be fine / survive and carry it to their family whom cannot.
That would be inflated greatly too.

Let's not forget the forest in all those trees
 
justhere4comm said:
You left this part out.

The testing results also may be artificially high because “these are people who were out and about shopping,” Cuomo added. “They were not people who were in their home, they were not people isolated, they were not people who were quarantined who you could argue probably had a lower rate of infection because they wouldn’t come out of the house.”
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Do those people return to empty houses?
 
I have. Even if it were 1/2 percent. That's still a whole lot more than the common flu which is .01%
.50% versus .01%

Let's call it 1 percent.
330,000,000 get Covid 19.
That's 3,300,000 dead.

.5% would still be double what happened in 1918. 675,000 dead, back then.
1,650,000 dead.

They had 3 waves back then.
We are in our first wave, of at least probably 2. The Fall.
I'm really hoping we don't suffer any sort of losses like that.
 
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justhere4comm said:
I have. Even if it were 1/2 percent. That's still a whole lot more than the common flu which is .01%
.50% versus .01%

Let's call it 1 percent.
330,000,000 get Covid 19.
That's 3,300,000 dead.
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Once again, forest and trees...right? You tested people more likely to have it and its at 1%....10x less then what was reported earlier. Now test those it was spread to. Want to bet its another 10x?
 
My man. We have San Francisco as a prime example back in 1918.
They shut down right away and all but avoided the first wave.
They laxed too soon and were crushed by wave 2.

This is it's equal or worse.
(Healthcare workers do not die from treating people with the flu)

Just because you have the antibodies doesn't mean it isn't 10x as contagious as the flu.
It is. There are more than one strain as well.
 
justhere4comm said:
My man. We have San Francisco as a prime example back in 1918.
They shut down right away and all but avoided the first wave.
They laced too soon and were crushed by wave 2.

This is it's equal or worse.
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My man, I do believe we have better technology to deal with illness than in 1918.

Why don't we just pull out that black plague for reference.
 
Admin said:
My man, I do believe we have better technology to deal with illness than in 1918.

Why don't we just pull out that black plague for reference.
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This is it's equal or worse.
(Healthcare workers do not die from treating people with the flu)

Just because you have the antibodies doesn't mean it isn't 10x as contagious as the flu.
It is. There are more than one strain as well.

Apparently we don't have enough technology to kill this thing without killing the patient.
Because it's a direct parallel. It's another version of this very virus.

Back then it killed those with under developed immune systems. *Young people*
Now it's killing those with weakened. It's the opposite.
I'll be blunt. This thing scares the hell out of me. Not that I could get sick but:

- I could get someone sick
- My wife could get sick (She's compromised)
(I don't want to kill someone by being irresponsible)
 
justhere4comm said:
My man. We have San Francisco as a prime example back in 1918.
They shut down right away and all but avoided the first wave.
They laxed too soon and were crushed by wave 2.

This is it's equal or worse.
(Healthcare workers do not die from treating people with the flu)

Just because you have the antibodies doesn't mean it isn't 10x as contagious as the flu.
It is. There are more than one strain as well.
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Healthcare workers actually do die from the flu, they just aren't broadcast on network news and shut down the economy. Media just treat those as acceptable deaths...like heart attacks and cancer deaths.

You keep making statements that actually make the case for less mortality rates. Yes, it could be 10x as contagious...which means that many more people would have it..and the death rate is even lower.
 
And how many times are you going to edit your posts?
 
Admin said:
Healthcare workers actually do die from the flu, they just aren't broadcast on network news and shut down the economy. Media just treat those as acceptable deaths...like heart attacks and cancer deaths.

You keep making statements that actually make the case for less mortality rates. Yes, it could be 10x as contagious...which means that many more people would have it..and the death rate is even lower.
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Heart attack, cancer, and flu deaths don’t really have the potential to increase at an exponential rate if left unchecked, to be fair.

Yes, lower death rates than initially reported is fantastic news, but even if the death rate is “only” comparable to the normal flu, given that there’s no immunity to it yet, if it effects a ton of people, that’s still a ton of deaths.
 
muscleupcrohn said:
Heart attack, cancer, and flu deaths don’t really have the potential to increase at an exponential rate if left unchecked, to be fair.
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Yet they kill 10x more people and nobody seems to care. Its the unseen, unknown, new, novel, media driven boogeyman that shuts down the world.

Yes, lower death rates than initially reported is fantastic news, but even if the death rate is “only” comparable to the normal flu, given that there’s no immunity to it yet, if it effects a ton of people, that’s still a ton of deaths.
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No immunity?
 
Admin said:
Yet they kill 10x more people and nobody seems to care. Its the unseen, unknown, new, novel, media driven boogeyman that shuts down the world.



No immunity?
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What? I’m pretty sure that there have been more COVID deaths in the US than flu deaths this year already. And heart attacks and cancer aren’t contagious; you’re comparing apples to oranges. How would travel/business restrictions/lockdowns help prevent either of those? It wouldn’t.
 
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193379
 
muscleupcrohn said:
What? I’m pretty sure that there have been more COVID deaths in the US than flu deaths this year already. And heart attacks and cancer aren’t contagious; you’re comparing apples to oranges. How would travel/business restrictions/lockdowns help prevent either of those? It wouldn’t.
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Actually we don't really know because flu deaths are usually examined over a 12-18 month period as the data is revised over that period of time.

I'm not comparing apples to oranges, I'm comparing death totals and people's emotional reactions to it.

The answer to your last question won't be answered for many years to come.
 
Yes. We have 330x the population they do.
It won't work here. Unless you don't mind 3,300,00 dead.
 
That's ok if you don't think I understand it. I do. "Herd Immunity"
Anyone whom thinks this would work here in the states is more than welcome to protest, like I have said numerous times in this and other threads. They should also sign a Covid-19 and DNR waiver.
 
justhere4comm said:
That's ok if you don't think I understand it. I do. "Herd Immunity"
Anyone whom thinks this would work here in the states is more than welcome to protest, like I have said numerous times in this and other threads. They should also sign a Covid-19 and DNR waiver.
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Work? Thats how it WILL work eventually whether by nature or vaccination. Its already working in NY as the new study is showing. Same with the Stanford study....Once again, you don't understand it.

I love answers like this. Sign a DNR if you're possibly wrong. A real humanitarian.... So sad.

And why are you bringing up protestors? Its possible for people to take COVID-19 seriously, worry about their house payments and job while questioning if the government takes away rights for "good intentions". You can ACTUALLY think about all three at one time. Its amazing!
 
Admin said:
Actually we don't really know because flu deaths are usually examined over a 12-18 month period as the data is revised over that period of time.

I'm not comparing apples to oranges, I'm comparing death totals and people's emotional reactions to it.

The answer to your last question won't be answered for many years to come.
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Are you really suggesting that lockdowns would drastically reduce cancer? Or even that it would take years to say it wouldn’t? What is the proposed mechanism(s) by which you think it may?

It’s one thing to say that COVID may not be as deadly as once thought, but it’s still worse (a greater threat) than the flu; surely we can agree on that.
 
muscleupcrohn said:
Are you really suggesting that lockdowns would drastically reduce cancer? Or even that it would take years to say it wouldn’t? What is the proposed mechanism(s) by which you think it may?
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Don't think I ever suggested that. I merely brought up the sensationalism based on assumption when the same people literally ignore diseases that kill 10x more people every year and they don't say a peep. It seems emotion, hysteria and fear "trump" facts.

It’s one thing to say that COVID may not be as deadly as once thought, but it’s still worse (a greater threat) than the flu; surely we can agree on that.
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Its a greater threat because we don't have a vaccination for it.....but does that justify destroying someone's business? job? Freedom of assembly? Do you force people to wear masks now?
 
It makes you sound kind of stupid when you say no one cares that people die of cancer or heart disease. There are millions and millions of dollars poured into these areas year after year for research on prevention, reversal, new drugs, new surgeries, etc.
 
jswain34 said:
It makes you sound kind of stupid when you say no one cares that people die of cancer or heart disease. There are millions and millions of dollars poured into these areas year after year for research on prevention, reversal, new drugs, new surgeries, etc.
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It makes you sound kind of stupid when you think I mean "people" and not media driven stories...like I said when I first talked about it.
 
Admin said:
It makes you sound kind of stupid when you think I mean "people" and not media driven stories...like I said when I first talked about it.
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Im pretty sure there are also tons of news articles posted on the topics annually as well. Maybe not a “quarantine” but that would do literally zilch in preventing those things. Its really a pretty ignorant comparison.

Edit: and, there also are absolutely media driven stories where a reporter writes an article completely misrepresenting scientific data for clickbait and a catchy headline.
 
jswain34 said:
Im pretty sure there are also tons of news articles posted on the topics annually as well. Maybe not a “quarantine” but that would do literally zilch in preventing those things. Its really a pretty ignorant comparison.
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Yes, let me know when CNN, MSNBC, FOX, etc...raise their ad rates when the latest cancer stories come out.

I literally told you I meant the media and show me where I ever said a quarantine would effect cancer and heart attacks?

The ignorant one is yourself not reading what I post.
 
Admin said:
Yes, let me know when CNN, MSNBC, FOX, etc...raise their ad rates when the latest cancer stories come out.

I literally told you I meant the media and show me where I ever said a quarantine would effect cancer and heart attacks?

The ignorant one is yourself not reading what I post.
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So you’re talking about the MEDIA overreacting and not policy makers overreacting? Because you seem to be discussing both...
 
muscleupcrohn said:
So you’re talking about the MEDIA overreacting and not policy makers overreacting? Because you seem to be discussing both...
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Do you not think one effects the other?
 
So what exactly was the point of your statement then? Just to bitch about the media reporting on a global pandemic?

And then just make comparisons to the flu...to complain about the media?

Or was it the part in post #771 where you said “yet they kill 10x more people AND NOBODY SEEMS TO CARE.” ?

Quoted it for you here in case you wanted to see YOUR WORDS.

Admin said:
Yet they kill 10x more people and nobody seems to care. Its the unseen, unknown, new, novel, media driven boogeyman that shuts down the world.

No immunity?
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jswain34 said:
So what exactly was the point of your statement then? Just to bitch about the media reporting on a global pandemic?
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I literally told you my point but you don't seem to understand or better yet, you want to call people stupid, ignorant and "bitching".

You've really added to the conversation.
 
Admin said:
I literally told you my point but you don't seem to understand or better yet, you want to call people stupid, ignorant and "bitching".

You've really added to the conversation.
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I said you sounded stupid, didnt say you as an individual were stupid.

I said you made an ignorant comparison by saying “nobody cares about heart disease or cancer”, not that you were an ignorant person. Edit: which I still stand by. You did make those statements. And it is an ignorant comparison.

And you made it clear that you had a problem with this disease is a “media driven boogeyman” and “the same people LITERALLY IGNORE diseases that kill 10x more people every year and they dont peep.” Which I called you out on, and then you said I “sound kind of stupid” by doing because you said you never did that.

Then you ignore the parts of my post where I show you did exactly what you said you didnt do .
 
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justhere4comm said:
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No ****, sherlock. The CDC warned 2 days ago we're looking at a second, worse wave. Why worse? Because our aggressive shutdown policies have delayed infections, pushing them into next winter and flu season. GOOD JOB, TEAM APOCALYPSE!

That's how it freaking works: 'flatten the curve' games only change the infection rate by 1% either way, they only delay infections/deaths, spreading them out over a longer period, which helps keep hospitals able to cope. But a majority of US hospitals are empty, and have not seen the wave of covid patients Team Apocalypse promised, so we were too aggressive. Now we're looking at a fucked year next year due to everyone being a giant pussy. Keep in mind that 1% change in infection rates/deaths does NOT address the deaths and hardship that WILL occur due to a longer economic depression caused by the extended lockdown.
 
poison said:
No ****, sherlock. The CDC warned 2 days ago we're looking at a second, worse wave. Why worse? Because our aggressive shutdown policies have delayed infections, pushing them into next winter and flu season. GOOD JOB, TEAM APOCALYPSE!

That's how it freaking works: 'flatten the curve' games only change the infection rate by 1% either way, they only delay infections/deaths, spreading them out over a longer period, which helps keep hospitals able to cope. But a majority of US hospitals are empty, and have not seen the wave of covid patients Team Apocalypse promised, so we were too aggressive. Now we're looking at a fucked year next year due to everyone being a giant pussy. Keep in mind that 1% change in infection rates/deaths does NOT address the deaths and hardship that WILL occur due to a longer economic depression caused by the extended lockdown.
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I think it should be clear that we are headed for economic depression.
 
Ah yes, you didn't imply I was stupid, ignorant and just bithcing. Riiiiiiight........
jswain34 said:
I said you sounded stupid, didnt say you as an individual were stupid.
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Yes, one is demeaning, the other more demeaning. Just a regular Einstein here. Well done.

I said you made an ignorant comparison by saying “nobody cares about heart disease or cancer”, not that you were an ignorant person.
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The conversation at that point had the media in context...as I stated for the 3rd time.

And you made it clear that you had a problem with this disease is a “media driven boogeyman” and “the same people LITERALLY IGNORE diseases that kill 10x more people every year and they dont peep.” Which I called you out on, and then you said I “sound kind of stupid” by doing because you said you never did that.
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LOL...called out. Your ramble here is tough to understand. I have many problems with this disease. 1. It kills people. 2. It can't be accurately tracked as testing lags. 3. The media fueled sensationalism. 4. Public policy dictated by emotion rather than facts.

Thats just a small list. Be sure to call me out on those as well....

Then you ignore the parts of my post where I show you did exactly what you said you didnt do .
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Oh you got me. I meant regular people all along....they just don't care about cancer or heart attacks. I tried to hide it, but you called me out!!!

🤦
 
Nope

I have spoken in these covid threads ad nauseum, so im not going to go into my thoughts on it here all over again. Have a good one, Admin.
 
jswain34 said:
Maybe you shouldnt say ignorant shît then. Not my problem if you wanna get offended by me telling you youre making a dumbass comparison and then showing you you said exactly what you didnt say.

I have spoken in these covid threads ad nauseum, so im not going to go into my thoughts on it here all over again. Have a good one, Admin.
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I think the one that comes off looking a bit emotional is you. Dumbass, bitching, ignorant, etc....

I never said I was offended I said it was demeaning. I think you should become familiar with the term context. It seems you don't understand it very well and you could avoid looking the way you do.

Have a nice evening.
 
As you can see I edited my post because I didnt want to pursue this conversation further.
 
Admin said:
Ah yes, you didn't imply I was stupid, ignorant and just bithcing. Riiiiiiight........


Yes, one is demeaning, the other more demeaning. Just a regular Einstein here. Well done.



The conversation at that point had the media in context...as I stated for the 3rd time.



LOL...called out. Your ramble here is tough to understand. I have many problems with this disease. 1. It kills people. 2. It can't be accurately tracked as testing lags. 3. The media fueled sensationalism. 4. Public policy dictated by emotion rather than facts.

Thats just a small list. Be sure to call me out on those as well....



Oh you got me. I meant regular people all along....they just don't care about cancer or heart attacks. I tried to hide it, but you called me out!!!

🤦
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What do you mean people don't care about cancer or heart attacks? What can be done, especially short-term (since people have short attention spans and don't like putting aside short-term goals/benefits for long-term benefits) to prevent/reduce cancer and/or heart attacks? On an individual level, what can you do to prevent OTHER PEOPLE from getting cancer or having a heart attack? Not much really. But by staying home when you can, you can help prevent COVID from spreading to OTHER PEOPLE. And what new information do we learn every day about cancer or heart attacks? You really are comparing things that are not alike here.

You can argue that governments are "overreacting," or, more accurately, "erring on the side of caution" in regards to lockdowns without "knowing" for sure how much they help relative to how much they hurt the economy and that impact on lives/health/etc., but you don't have to compare COVID to cancer or heart attacks to do so; it actually weakens your argument, because people can just focus on explaining why they're not akin to each other, and not focus on some potentially valid points you can actually have/make...
 
jswain34 said:
As you can see I edited my post because I didnt want to pursue this conversation further.
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Its an open thread, you certainly can post it in. I suggest a beer, it might relax you.
 
Admin said:
Its an open thread, you certainly can post it in. I suggest a beer, it might relax you.
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Have already had one. Its why I even responded in the first place. Thanks for the life tip though.

Edit: typo.
 
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