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NCAA spread time

Hey, hey, hey - I resemble that remark RD!

I've been bad at gambling for fun ($5 bets with friends) because I analyze TOO much and try to pick the emotional angle.

Example 1A why I'm bad was my Miami 2006 preseason prediction. How wrong I was....
 
Went 2-3 in college, if the Buckeyes would have them score 1TD I'd have come out on top $50. Oh well, none of this will matter because my big money is on the Patriots on monday night. They should beat them by at least 3 points :)

Good call size, do you tend to put most of your $$$ on one pick like me ?
 
Iron Warrior said:
Good call size, do you tend to put most of your $$$ on one pick like me ?
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Varies but I tend to be consistent unless something really stands out.


Tonite,
UAB @ SMU- In my opinion, this game should go over the mark at 48. Over the past few weeks, each offense is scoring and each defense is letting the opposition score. This indicates a mark of over the total 48
 
size said:
Tonite,
UAB @ SMU- In my opinion, this game should go over the mark at 48. Over the past few weeks, each offense is scoring and each defense is letting the opposition score. This indicates a mark of over the total 48
Click to expand...

I hope you guys did not play this one. It has sucked. I am checking it online and I am totally surprised, 13 points total into the 4th quarter. Only hope is overtime, but these teams are so bad. Obviously my capping on this one was terrible as well :rasp:
 
size said:
I hope you guys did not play this one. It has sucked. I am checking it online and I am totally surprised, 13 points total into the 4th quarter. Only hope is overtime, but these teams are so bad. Obviously my capping on this one was terrible as well :rasp:
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it happens to the best of us. hey size, what games are you looking at this week? here are my favorites, tell me what ya think:

BC -4 over wake forest
indiana +6 to michigan state
maryland +16 to clemson
georgia -7 over kentucky
arkansas -2 over south carolina

and my money pick looks to be V tech -2 over miami.

i was looking at fresno state -27 but everyone jumped on that and its at 23 right now, damn:blink:
 
WannaBeHulk said:
BC -4 over wake forest
indiana +6 to michigan state
maryland +16 to clemson
georgia -7 over kentucky
arkansas -2 over south carolina
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Indiana @ Minnesota, not Michigan St., I think that is a good play to look at as I think Indiana may win w/o points.
Ark. -2 seems like a gift. My thoughts point to Ark, but not a play for me.

I think Ball State +35.5 @ Michigan is a good play. I imagine Michigan pulling players so no one gets hurt. Also, Michigan has only gone over 35 points twice this year, both were early games in the season.
Another game I am looking at is Kent State -14 @ Buffalo.
 
size said:
Indiana @ Minnesota, not Michigan St., I think that is a good play to look at as I think Indiana may win w/o points.
Ark. -2 seems like a gift. My thoughts point to Ark, but not a play for me.

I think Ball State +35.5 @ Michigan is a good play. I imagine Michigan pulling players so no one gets hurt. Also, Michigan has only gone over 35 points twice this year, both were early games in the season.
Another game I am looking at is Kent State -14 @ Buffalo.
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good point about michigan. i actually got burned last week betting on the over of the michigan/northwestern game over 42. NU usually allows many points to teams with lesser offenses so im not sure what happened although it was windy weather. besides that, almost all my other plays won.

thanks for your input. any advice on virginia tech cause i think that looks really good. im starting to second guess myself on the georgia pick since the team always plays at their opponets level. kentucky is terrible though so its undecided as of now.
 
WannaBeHulk said:
thanks for your input. any advice on virginia tech cause i think that looks really good. im starting to second guess myself on the georgia pick since the team always plays at their opponets level. kentucky is terrible though so its undecided as of now.
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I do not trust VTech or Miami so to me it is a no play. UGA would seem to be the smarter play in that game; as I feel they are better on both sides than UK is. Not a play for me though.

Another game I am really looking at is Hawaii -27. Hawaii is a complete team this year with a great offense and an acceptable defense. Hawaii will score at least 50. This is a weather pending play.
 
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RD - When will Mr. Church Hill, TN (see - I got ya on that one...) start getting Mario some more playing time to get the rust off before OSU*?

Hulk - I'm with Size on the VT/Miami game. I'm pretty sure our players have flat out quit. But, our D last year just beat the living hell outta Marcus Vick - and I don't think Sean Glennon is any better of a QB. If our O can get some points early - that could give the D enough confidence for them not to quit.

That being said - we are still coached by one Larry Coker, so it's a Chinese fire-drill as to what plays we'll run or what players will played.
I'm half expecting to see the punter substituted in at QB because Coker has his typical brain fart.
 
First of all, thank you Patriots for funding my supplement habits for the next 3 months :D

My picks this week include
My lock is the OVER (49 points) in the Arizona St. & Oregon St. game. PAC-10 defenses are horrible this year, money in the bank !

other picks I like are
New England - 3 OVER Indianapolis
Denver + 2.5 OVER Pittsburgh
Atlanta -5 OVER Detroit
West Virginia +1 OVER Louisville
Nebraska -6 OVER Missouri
Arkansas -2.5 OVER South Carolina
The over in the USC & Stanford game (46.5)
The over in Minnesota & San Francisco (42) - The Vikings alone should put up 31 :(
 
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Iron Warrior said:
First of all, thank you Patriots for funding my supplement habits for the next 3 months :D

My picks this week include
My lock is the OVER (49 points) in the Arizona St. & Oregon St. game. PAC-10 defenses are horrible this year, money in the bank !

other picks I like are
New England - 3 OVER Indianapolis
Denver + 2.5 OVER Pittsburgh
Atlanta -5 OVER Detroit
West Virginia +1 OVER Louisville
Nebraska -6 OVER Missouri
Arkansas -2.5 OVER South Carolina
The over in the USC & Stanford game (46.5)
The over in Minnesota & San Francisco (42) - The Vikings alone should put up 31 :(
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looks good IW! my only disagreement is louisville over west virginia. im thinking louiville will win this. WV only has a run game and the cardinals have one of the best rush defenses in the nation. their pass defense struggles but WV isnt a threat with the pass. louisville will put up many points with brohm back and i doubt WV will be able to hang. ive watched WV games and havent been impressed. plus home field advantage for louisville = big win. im just thinking out loud here but i feel strongly about this.

p.s. - the over with OSU/ASU looks really solid. excellant choice! will definitely happen IF there arent any weather issues.
 
WVU @ Louisville - One thing that is worth thinking about is the WVU pass defense. ECU threw for about 250 yards and would have had over 300 if it were not for many dropepd passes. ECU is really the only passing team WVU has faced. So the question I have is how will they handle Brohm?
 
Brohm hasn't looked so hot since rushing back from that thumb injury. He's got just 1Td and 2 INTs in 2 games and it wasn't like either game was a blowout and they didnt need points. I usually love Louisville at home and I keep reading about UL's rush defense but I also remember Cincy rushing for over 200 yds against them and almost beating them at Papa John's a few weeks ago. Cincy's QB and RB are ok but they're no Slaton and White and Cincy is definitely no WVU. Brohm wasn't even supposed to be back for a few more weeks, definitely isn't 100% and the weather is supposed to be cold and very windy tonight. As much as UL at home has been money in the bank for me the past few years, I like WVU tonite.
 
As I expected, WVU pass defense got exposed. WVU had no answer for Brohm.

Also, Kent St. -14 is a solid play.
 
size said:
As I expected, WVU pass defense got exposed. WVU had no answer for Brohm.

Also, Kent St. -14 is a solid play.
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kent state -14? i see it at -16. i put them in the following parlay (i bought at least 1/2 point if not more on every game but i think its solid):

kent state -13.5
indiana +7.5
maryland +21.5
georgia -6.5

my other plays this week are indiana again on a straight wager with arkansas and BC. im thinking i might change my money bet from v tech to BC. havent gambled on v tech yet cause betting against miami makes me feel uncomfortable. they can be a threat to any team (also, any team can be a threat to them). both miami and georgia have a problem playing at their opponets level. im starting to like BC over wake more and mare. i caught this at -2.5!!!
 
WannaBeHulk said:
kent state -14? i see it at -16.
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Yes, sorry, I had it earlier as now the line has moved. Still looks solid to me. Buffalo is very bad.
 
WannaBeHulk said:
my other plays this week are indiana again on a straight wager with arkansas and BC. im thinking i might change my money bet from v tech to BC. havent gambled on v tech yet cause betting against miami makes me feel uncomfortable. they can be a threat to any team (also, any team can be a threat to them). both miami and georgia have a problem playing at their opponets level. im starting to like BC over wake more and mare. i caught this at -2.5!!!
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I rarely bet unless I have a bit of extra money going around, so take this with a grain of salt...but I would be careful with the ACC in conference matchups, they have been unpredictable this year. VT and miami will be a great game though, miami has been playing to the level of their opponents this year, and you never know if the VT of last week will be there, or the VT from the boston college game. I think that miami D might be able to give Ore a tough time, and if Glennon has to go to the air its bad news. I was at the VT-Miami game last year and it was a HUGE game for miami, starting qb and rb went down and they still won by a couple TDs, in Blacksburg no less, definitely a tough environment. I am babbling, gonna stop now, I would say just listen to size.
 
Nope Warn - our starting QB was Kyle Wright and he played in last year's drubbing of VT (I made a thread on here that night). The starting RB at the beginning of the year was Tyrone Moss - he was out. Charlie Jones came in and had the game of his life. He's not played anywhere near that good IMO since that game.

Bottome line - we beat the living sh*t outta VT partly because Marcus Vick was just so bad.
Glennon seems to have the potential to pull a Vick - so I agree with you on this matchup - too tough to call.

I'm still predicting for Miami to lose. They havent' shown me that they can be disciplined enough win (and they still have Larry Coker as the head coach).

But - man, was that 27-7 win fun last year.
 
WannaBeHulk said:
looks good IW! my only disagreement is louisville over west virginia. im thinking louiville will win this. WV only has a run game and the cardinals have one of the best rush defenses in the nation. their pass defense struggles but WV isnt a threat with the pass. louisville will put up many points with brohm back and i doubt WV will be able to hang. ive watched WV games and havent been impressed. plus home field advantage for louisville = big win. im just thinking out loud here but i feel strongly about this.

p.s. - the over with OSU/ASU looks really solid. excellant choice! will definitely happen IF there arent any weather issues.
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Damn you're right Hulk, stupid turn overs and un-special teams killed them. I expected WV to be more explosive and that was the reason I went with them because they had been lights out on a weekly basis. I simply overrated them.

P.S. the lock is money my friend, if not I go double or nothing next week and get it back, and some ;)
 
Iron Warrior said:
Damn you're right Hulk, stupid turn overs and un-special teams killed them. I expected WV to be more explosive and that was the reason I went with them because they had been lights out on a weekly basis. I simply overrated them.

P.S. the lock is money my friend, if not I go double or nothing next week and get it back, and some ;)
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DAMNIT!!! i transferred my funds from one sports gambling website to another one. my new gambling sportspage only lists over/under bets on select games and ASU/OSU is off so i cannot bet on it. my old sportsbook lists the over/under for that game at 47. im really missing out on this but if i transfer back now, the money wont be in my acct in time :(

i have a lot invested in indiana and BC this week. i also put together what i thought was a worthless parlay but im 3 for 3 right now with air force, louisville, and the over in louisville's game. all i need now is georgia, arkansas and v tech to cover. if this happens, ill be a rich man!!!:dance:
 
Well thank you Oregon State & Arizona State, the bank account swelled up a little more this week. I've hit my lock so my side work is done :dance:

I've gotta say I'm pretty pissed about the rich kids (Stanford) not being able to score one freaking TD ! Dammit they would have bought me a bottle of Powerfull LOL. USC 42-0 over Stanford & I just needed 5 more points.
 
ouch... a pretty rough saturday for me:( between BC, Indiana, and Kent state, i lost quite a bit. luckily, i had a 2 game parlay with arkansas and v tech which covered nicely and recovered some losses. tomorrow, ill be rooting for the falcons over detroit. if this happens ill only be down $100 for the week and lets not discuss what happens if this doesnt work out in my favor ;)

seriously, who would have though minnesota would have blown up like they did? :wtf: and i really shouldnt have bet on kent state. i know nothing about the MAC. oh well, back to my conservative betting style until i have enough funds again for stupid risks:twisted:
 
Kent Sate??? :(
Not sure what happened there. Up 14-0 and lose 41-14 to a terrible Buffalo team, it really hurt.

On the week, I had a winning record but barely came out ahead thanks to Kent St.
I won Air Force, Ball St, Hawaii, BYU, and Nevada.
Lost Kent State, SMU/UAB over.
5-2 and barely a winning weekend. I hope Kent St. loses ever game they play from this point forward.

Sorry about giving the Kent St. play. I thought it was one of the strongest plays this weekend.

Well, I was correct about Hawaii scoring at least 50 as they had 63. This team is different than other Hawaii teams in the manner that they can play on the road. I imagine lines will be inflated fromt his point forward.
 
size said:
Sorry about giving the Kent St. play. I thought it was one of the strongest plays this weekend.
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dont worry about it at all. although it did influence my decision, i should have looked into the game myself. i need to to stick with what works for me which is the meaningful games in bigger conferences. i respect your opinion and dont want this to affect your advice on future picks. you have too much knowledge of college football and i like hearing your picks.

im now back to my original startegy only betting money line on favored teams that i believe strongly will cover the spread. ill build my empire back slowly but surely.
 
size said:
Sorry about giving the Kent St. play. I thought it was one of the strongest plays this weekend.
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I know alot of people that thought the same thing. I hit Kent as soon as I saw it. I know a little about the MAC but I know alot about Buffalo and they are terrible. That game shouldn't have been close.
 
That time again. Here's some of my preliminary picks
Boise St. -13.5 OVER San Jose State
The OVER (45) in Temple @ Penn St.
USC -7.5 OVER Oregon
Tennessee +5.5 OVER Arkansas
Denver -7 OVER Oakland
Indianapolis -11.5 OVER Buffalo
Philadelphia -7 OVER Washington

Right now my lock would be Denver -7 OVER Oakland
 
already locked in...
Purdue @ Ill (pk)
Miami @ MD (-2)
Wake (+7) @ FSU
Latech @ Hawaii (-38)

looking at
Wyoming (+20 and rising) @ BYU
GT (-13) @ UNC
Tenn (opened +2.5, now +5.5 ) @ Ark
GA @ Aub (open -15, now -12.5)
ND @ Air Force o57
Temple (+35) @ PSU
 
Oddsmakers have realized the earning potential that Hawaii has had for the past few weeks. Now a huge line is released and I imagine it will climb. I think there will be more value in the first half line than the game line.

yankees3 said:
I know alot about Buffalo and they are terrible. That game shouldn't have been close.
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We share the same feelings. I am still bothered by the result of that game.
 
Iron Warrior said:
Anyone think Indy -11.5 OVER Buffalo is a better lock then Denver -7 OVER Oakland ?
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i would think that oakland will get shut out again. their offense is horendous and denvers D is top notch. their offense has been rolling lately but when they put up points, so do their oppenets. i dont wanna say anything about the other game cause i know nothing about buffalo except that they destroyed the packers last week. im curious to hear opinions on this.
 
The buffalo-gb score is deceiving because buffalo didn't even have 200 yds of total offense in that game and GB had more than double that. 2 INTS (1 returned for a TD,1 in the endzone returned 70+ yds) and 2 fumbles were the difference in that game. Losman had 102 passing yds (thats with a 43 yd td pass) against GB's awesome pass defense, was sacked 5 times, fumbled once and Willis McGahee left the game with broken ribs. Their offense is horrible, they can't win on the road, and their defense just gave up 400+ yds to Green Bay at home (Unfortunately I'm in Buffalo's market so I get their games every week).
 
Some games worth looking at:
Louisville ml
Hawaii 1st half and 1st quarter
Nevada 1st half


Edit...........Louisville certainly decided to play only one half. I passed on it as I am doing for the entire weekend and I am thankful now.
 
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WannaBeHulk said:
i would think that oakland will get shut out again. their offense is horendous and denvers D is top notch. their offense has been rolling lately but when they put up points, so do their oppenets. i dont wanna say anything about the other game cause i know nothing about buffalo except that they destroyed the packers last week. im curious to hear opinions on this.
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I considered Indy -11.5 OVER Buffalo because the way the Colts have been playing and they have beaten elite teams on the road so Buffalo shouldn't pose much of threat even if they beat a weak Packers team. I'll go with Denver -7 OVER Oakland because I know how bad Oakland is and their win against Pittsburgh was a fluke. They won't get 6 turnovers against Denver or 2 defensive touochdowns like they did against Pittsburgh.
 
here we go... my picks this week are:

wisconsin over iowa
ohio state over NU (1st half)
texas over KSU (1st half)
georgia over auburn
south carolina over florida
NMSU over fresno

i have a feeling my gambling acct is going broke today:(
oh well, i only started with $500. i feel fortunate to have lasted this long. i peaked out at $1800 but its been downhill ever since with my big $$$ games. however, ive still picked many more games right.
 
final card for sat ( a little bigger than normal thanks to Rutgers & BYU)

Ill (pk) over Purdue
Md -2 over Miami
Wake +7 over FSU
Hawaii -38 over Latech
Hawaii -21 over Latech (1st half)
Ga Tech -7 over UNC 1st half
Cal -13 over Arizona
SDST -8.5 over UNLV
teaser WVU -10.5 over Cincy and over 38

teaser:
SC +20 over Florida
USC -1 over Oregon
Michigan -12 over Indiana
ND/Air Force o46
Boise -7 over SJS
Auburn -4.5 over Georgia
 
Just wondering, do most of you guys find that picking NFL games is easier then NCAA games, or is it just me ?

Hulk: Start picking more NFL games bro, you're account will swell up ;)

Yankees: How the hell did you get Boise -7 OVER SJSU & USC-1 OVER Oregon? I could only get Boise at 13.5 & USC at -7 ! You gotta hook us up with the bookie :D
 
Iron Warrior said:
Yankees: How the hell did you get Boise -7 OVER SJSU & USC-1 OVER Oregon? I could only get Boise at 13.5 & USC at -7 ! You gotta hook us up with the bookie :D
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looks like he did a 7 point teaser play. i absolutely hate teasers cause 1 or more games will be far off from whats expected.

IW, i mostly do college football cause i enjoy watching it much more. ill do 1 or 2 pro bets but its just not as much fun. i gamble mostly for entertainment and if i win, then thats a bonus. what i should do is just follow your lock picks. for as long as i followed your "lock" choices, you are a perfect 4 for 4. keep it up!!!
 
WannaBeHulk said:
IW, i mostly do college football cause i enjoy watching it much more. ill do 1 or 2 pro bets but its just not as much fun. i gamble mostly for entertainment and if i win, then thats a bonus. what i should do is just follow your lock picks. for as long as i followed your "lock" choices, you are a perfect 4 for 4. keep it up!!!
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College is a little more fun to watch, but pro is where the $$$ is at :) If Denver pulls through then I'll actually be 8-2 on my locks this year :dance: Last year I was 13-8 including the Post-Season. The hardest picks are the first 3 weeks and the last 3 weeks because many teams change their stripes at those points of the season. P.S. the Colts & Raiders games are a safe bet most of the time when you're in doubt ;)
 
DAMN IT!!! 1 game away from $1000. check out this parlay copied and pasted from my sportsbook account:

Parlay (6 Teams) 11/10/06 02:03 ET
20.00/1063.12 Result: Wager Lost
Alabama 14
LSU 28 11/11/06 (19:55 ET)
Alabama +18 (-105)

California 20
ArizonaU 24 11/11/06 (15:35 ET)
Over 46

Georgia 37
Auburn 15 11/11/06 (12:35 ET)
Georgia +12.5 (-105)

NewMexicoSt 18
FresnoSt 23 11/11/06 (17:05 ET)
NewMexicoSt +11.5 (-105)

OhioSt 54
Northwestern 10 11/11/06 (15:45 ET)
OhioSt -23 (-105)

SCarolina 16
Florida 17 11/11/06 (15:50 ET)
SCarolina +12.5 (-105)


all i needed was 5 more points from either cal or arizona in the last 12 minutes of the game. now cal had a play where a receiver caught the ball inside the 10 and fell down (not tackled, lost his balance) inside the 3 to make it 1st and goal. well, cal settles for a field goal. THEN, they put it in the end zone with 2 minutes remaining BUT the TD is overturned from the replay booth. 3 plays later, interception and game over:aargh: 1 more score would have given me over $1000. so close and in the end, i wind up with NOTHING from these plays:sad:
 
Ill (pk) over Purdue (L)
Md -2 over Miami (L)
Wake +7 over FSU (W)
Hawaii -38 over Latech (W)
Hawaii -21 over Latech (1st half) (L)
Ga Tech -7 over UNC 1st half (PUSH)
Cal -13 over Arizona (L)
SDST -8.5 over UNLV (W)
teaser WVU -10.5 over Cincy and over 38 (W)

6 team teaser: (L)
SC +20 over Florida (w)
USC -1 over Oregon(w)
Michigan -12 over Indiana(w)
ND/Air Force o46 (w)
Boise -7 over SJS (l)
Auburn -4.5 over Georgia (l)


4W 5L 1 TIE but it wasn't so bad as the teaser was a small wager and I went big on hawaii -38 and wake +7.

Sunday

KC (ML +105) over Miami
SD (-1) over Cincy
Bal (-7) over Tenn (got it at open)
NYJ (+10.5) over NE
Chi +3 over NYG (got it at open)
NO (ML +185) over Pitt
Den (-9.5) over Oak


teaser:
Kansas City Chiefs/Miami Dolphins (O 32.5)
Hou vs Jax (-3.5)
Balt (+0) vs Tenn
Buff vs Indy (-4.5)
NO (+11.5) vs Pitt
Wash (+14) vs Phily

If what I play may look different from the lines some of you may get it's because I check the lines right at the open on sunday (college) or late sunday/early monday (NFL) and immediately jump on ones that I know don't look right (ie. Chicago opened as a 3 pt dog ) and follow line movements on ones I think will move in my favor (wake opened at +7 and ended up at +9.5 by kickoff)
 
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WannaBeHulk said:
all i needed was 5 more points from either cal or arizona in the last 12 minutes of the game. now cal had a play where a receiver caught the ball inside the 10 and fell down (not tackled, lost his balance) inside the 3 to make it 1st and goal. well, cal settles for a field goal. THEN, they put it in the end zone with 2 minutes remaining BUT the TD is overturned from the replay booth. 3 plays later, interception and game over:aargh: 1 more score would have given me over $1000. so close and in the end, i wind up with NOTHING from these plays:sad:
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The receiver play fvcking killed me. I'm a Cal fan. The QB for Cal (Longshore) played far worse then he was expected to. That's tough luck Hulk, most PAC-10 games are almost a guarantee to hit the over.
 
Iron Warrior said:
College is a little more fun to watch, but pro is where the $$$ is at :)
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I do much better on college than pros. I find NFL to be much more difficult and my theory on this is that in the NFL teams are more evenly matched talent wise. Consequently, the more even dispersion of talent makes it more difficult to cap. I know most people find the opposite to be true(NFL easier to cap than college)
 
yankees3 said:
Sunday

KC (ML +105) over Miami (L)
superdrol (-1) over Cincy (W)
Bal (-7) over Tenn (got it at open) (L - why was this game even close?)
NYJ (+10.5) over NE (W)
Chi +3 over NYG (got it at open) (W and got some nice 2nd half action too)
NO (ML +185) over Pitt (L) - nice fumble mr. "rookie of the year")
Den (-9.5) over Oak (L )- I hate Jake the fake)


teaser: (not even close )
Kansas City Chiefs/Miami Dolphins (O 32.5)
Hou vs Jax (-3.5)
Balt (+0) vs Tenn
Buff vs Indy (-4.5)
NO (+11.5) vs Pitt
Wash (+14) vs Phily
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I hate betting the NFL. At least in college you'll get a few games each week that are easy to cap and teams that you can ride all year long (i.e Hawaii & BYU ). I'm laying off the NFL a bit (2 games a week tops) and concentrating on college (conference championships and bowl season are a few weeks away)
 
yankees3 said:
At least in college you'll get a few games each week that are easy to cap and teams that you can ride all year long (i.e Hawaii & BYU ).
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Hawaii and BYU ATS have been great, 7-1 for Hawaii and 9-1 for BYU. Here are two other teams that have been great ATS, Nevada at 9-1 and San Jose St(especially at home) 6-2.

I have been riding these teams all year. Only betting these teams would have resulted in a 31-5 record thus far. Problem is, now more people are starting to see these trends and ride these teams. So lines are starting to get inflated. One thing I think is important to note, is that these teams are not the big name teams or big game teams. instead, they are teams that win and win often. They play in the WAC and the Mountain West both (great for betting in my mind).
 
size said:
Hawaii and BYU ATS have been great, 7-1 for Hawaii and 9-1 for BYU. Here are two other teams that have been great ATS, Nevada at 9-1 and San Jose St(especially at home) 6-2.

I have been riding these teams all year. Only betting these teams would have resulted in a 31-5 record thus far. Problem is, now more people are starting to see these trends and ride these teams. So lines are starting to get inflated. One thing I think is important to note, is that these teams are not the big name teams or big game teams. instead, they are teams that win and win often. They play in the WAC and the Mountain West both (great for betting in my mind).
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i think BYU against UNM this week is pretty risky. for the record, i attend UNM, and i hate our football program but you never know which lobo team is gonna show up. we are very inconsistent.
 
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