NCAA spread time

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  1. NCAA spread time


    The new season of ncaa college football has arrived so it is time to discuss the most important thing.
    Who will cover the spreads?

    For a good start,I went 2-0 last night with Northwestern at -3 and on Minnesota at -17. It felt good.
    Some game I am looking at this weekend:
    Texas -22 for the first half.
    LSU -29 and maybe the first half
    Houston -13
    Wis -9.5
    Miss -3
    Neb -21
    BYU Over

    Time to narrow things down and have fun.


  2. Quote Originally Posted by Rogue Drone
    I'll make this a seperate thread if you wish me too, Size.

    I would be very interested in hearing others strategies, in a general non specific to a game sense for team/spread analysis and money management.

    I knows what I knows, what do y'all knows? School me/us.

    We can have a lot of fun slicing and dicing up the, IMO, best sport around and as the head Ref of the second greatest sport in the U.S. might say, "Let's Get It on".
    Fine to do it in this thread.

    General stuff for me:
    1. Never wager more than you can afford to lose
    2. Employ a system and follow to the system.
    3. Follow trends
    4. Ignore the idea about "traps"
    5. Study teams
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  3. Rogue, I need to extended a "thank you" to you. I had completely overlooked Clemson and Auburn. After I read your post, I went and looked at those games. The result was me smiling.
    Overall, last weekend went really well for me.

    Looking forward to this weekend.
    Last edited by size; 09-06-2006 at 10:39 AM.

  4. Weekend comes to an end, and it is time to start looking to next weekend.

    One really exciting game(at least to me) is Auburn vs LSU. Great defenses and potent offenses on both teams. Should be exciting.

  5. I read them and appreciate many of your posts.

    I hope the school up north kills the ND hype machine. I think a good ND is good for football, but I'm sick of it. I wish for it every year, but this year I have an even larger craving for both OSU and UM to come into The Game undefeated.
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  6. Quote Originally Posted by Rogue Drone
    What a weekend to show the parity in Collegeball these days and the unpredictable nature of this sport, great for fans , hard for gamblers.

    Troy, Buffalo scoring 40 points,Air Force, etc.
    Definitely. I pounded LSU, Auburn, Florida, and Louisville. I was trying to make it an SEC weekend but Tenn disappointed me with their total inability to stop the option. Wake Forest also hurt me the inability to score a worthy amount vs a dreadful Duke.

    LSU vs Auburn is really a tough game to call, I will stay away from it but I looking forward to it. I am interested in seeing how LSU stops Irons, and how Aubrun handles all the various speeds from the stable of LSU rbs.

    Another thing worth noting in my mind is the continual improvement of Rutgers. Last year the team made some strides and it appears they are continuing to do so this year.

    Temple is terrible.

    One of the first games I like thus far, is Arizona State(-9) vs Colorado. Poor Coach Hawkins at Colorado, the Buffs just look horrible. I imagine this line will continue to climb.

  7. Thus far, Arizona State (-9) and WVU(-13.5).
    Some leans:
    Conn (-4)
    Boise(-8.5)
    Rutgers(-17)
    Some first half plays to consider as well.
    How about your plays?
    Last edited by size; 09-11-2006 at 05:48 PM.

  8. Quote Originally Posted by size

    One of the first games I like thus far, is Arizona State(-9) vs Colorado. Poor Coach Hawkins at Colorado, the Buffs just look horrible. I imagine this line will continue to climb.
    It already has. It opened at -7.5 yesterday. I couldn't believe it when I saw it and of course i pounded it.

    Also liking Nevada -2, Boise, Florida , Uconn and Texas -28 (bought the hook. I think Rice is going to pay for UT losing last week). I like Rutgers but I'm not sure about the points. They've looked great so far but they've also faced some terrible teams.

  9. I know you never bet on your own team, but I do not see Tress going more than the 30 against his old national championship D.C., Dantonio--now Cinci's head coach. Not to mention he never runs up a score to begin with. Plus, he'll do what he usually does whenever he can which is go into halftime with an outrageous lead and call the dogs off for most of the second half. He's got PSU and Iowa the following 2 weeks and will not give up his hand with unneeded offensive playcalling. If things go right in the first half, you will see a lot of realtime practice given to the 2's and 3's in the second. I've seen him start the third quarter with the second teamers in against Kent State. Then there is this, during that NC year Cinci played OSU very close, as did a lot of other teams. I guess what I am saying is that I do not often like the larger spreads when it comes to OSU.

  10. Quote Originally Posted by BingeAndPurge
    I guess what I am saying is that I do not often like the larger spreads when it comes to OSU.
    This is why one would choose to play the first half odds.

  11. USC reasoning please

  12. I think the USC/NU game will be high scoring. Both teams have been hit hard by the injury bug in the secondary, with USC on the worst side of it. If the Huskers don't get pressure on Booty, we are in trouble. I like NU chances, because of a huge improvement in the running game, and as you know Rouge Drone, Zac Taylor is for real at QB. We will move the ball and score on them, but Jarrett poses a problem for our secondary. 28 points against Arkansas came off 5 turnovers. If we don't turn it over, there is no way USC will cover that spread. My optimistic prediction NU 35 USC 31

  13. Quote Originally Posted by size
    This is why one would choose to play the first half odds.
    1st half stunk, but tied the spread at the end. Strange game.

  14. Quote Originally Posted by BingeAndPurge
    1st half stunk, but tied the spread at the spread at the end. Strang game.
    In deed, it did. I was not happy.
    Thank goodness for Texas at -7 for 1st quarter though.

  15. Went 4-0 last week with Hawaii being my #1 play. It was to easy on that game.

    Hawaii looks like a real team this year even off of the island. Brennan is a real QB.

    For a mid week game, I think CMU(-6.5) at home is a good play. In fact, CMU is 7-0 ats this year. Bowling Green is really incosistent.

  16. Damn Size, you're gonna make us rich if we use you as an investment LOL

    I'm up $3,400 this year and here's what I got for this week. The way I bet is I put $750 on my lock of the week and $50 on all other games I think I can win. In the event that I lose on the lock of the week I go double or nothing until I get it back.

    COLLEGE
    Tennessee -11.5 OVER Alabama
    Texas -6.5 OVER Nebraska
    Oregon -4 OVER Washington State
    Notre Dame -13.5 OVER UCLA

    PRO
    San Diego -5.5 OVER K.C.
    New England -5.5 OVER Buffalo
    NY Giants +3.5 OVER Dallas

    I like the OVER (45.5) in the Giants & Cowboys game as well the over in Seattle & Minnesota (41)

    My lock is the OVER in the Seattle & Minnesota game.

  17. Look at LSU for the first half(-17.5). Reason being, it is home night game for LSU where they dominate. LSU has outscored opponents at home in the first half 143-6.
    Fresno St. is in a slide. Last week, they lost to Hawaii by 31 at home. Week before, they lost to Utah State. This is not the same team it was in the past.

  18. Quote Originally Posted by size
    For a mid week game, I think CMU(-6.5) at home is a good play.

    It is final.
    CMU 31
    Bowling Green 14
    CMU now 8-0 ATS.

  19. Quote Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
    Damn Size, you're gonna make us rich if we use you as an investment LOL

    I'm up $3,400 this year and here's what I got for this week. The way I bet is I put $750 on my lock of the week and $50 on all other games I think I can win. In the event that I lose on the lock of the week I go double or nothing until I get it back.

    COLLEGE
    Tennessee -11.5 OVER Alabama
    Texas -6.5 OVER Nebraska
    Oregon -4 OVER Washington State
    Notre Dame -13.5 OVER UCLA

    PRO
    San Diego -5.5 OVER K.C.
    New England -5.5 OVER Buffalo
    NY Giants +3.5 OVER Dallas

    I like the OVER (45.5) in the Giants & Cowboys game as well the over in Seattle & Minnesota (41)

    My lock is the OVER in the Seattle & Minnesota game.
    uh oh, not a good week for ya. i lost on that damn texas game which was bull****! they absolutely dominated all 4 quarters and the final score does not reflect how the teams matched up. id take that bet everytime.

    luckily i hit a 3 game parlay with rutgers, a&m, and wisconsin to make up for that loss.

    jmh80, how confident are you with those NFL picks? i agree with superdrol and new england but think the cowboys will load on the ginats. i also like arizona -3, green bay +6, and carolina +3

  20. I don't know what game you were watching, but I saw Nebraska come back and score two fourth quarter touchdowns to take the lead 20-19. So how did Texas dominate the entire game? NU gave Texas that win with a stupid fumble. Both teams made mistakes, and both teams shut down the run. Tough loss, but Nebraska main goal this year is to win the north. They will get another shot at Texas in December.

  21. Wanna,
    Were you asking me about IW's NFL picks???

    Do you think I'm some grand prognosticator or something? (I'm like 1-6 in the pick 'em game.....)

  22. Quote Originally Posted by jmh80
    Wanna,
    Were you asking me about IW's NFL picks???

    Do you think I'm some grand prognosticator or something? (I'm like 1-6 in the pick 'em game.....)
    oops, sorry about that, i need to direct that question to IW? i dont know how i screwed that up. my fault

    and to AFOX, nebraska scored 2 TD's off of long touchdown passes that should not have happened. and the other TD was a trick play (great call btw, texas got burned bad). other than those 3 plays, they didnt produce much offense. the running game is their strong point, and they managed a respectable 38 yards on the grounds texas actually put together drives and accumulated a bit more first downs. anywho, sorry for the rant, im a little bitter since it cost me 300 bones it was an awesome game to watch nonetheless.

  23. Quote Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
    uh oh, not a good week for ya. i lost on that damn texas game which was bull****! they absolutely dominated all 4 quarters and the final score does not reflect how the teams matched up. id take that bet everytime.

    luckily i hit a 3 game parlay with rutgers, a&m, and wisconsin to make up for that loss.

    jmh80, how confident are you with those NFL picks? i agree with superdrol and new england but think the cowboys will load on the ginats. i also like arizona -3, green bay +6, and carolina +3
    Yeah Hulk, this week has been a real bad one for me

    If Seattle and Minnesota come through with the over of 41 pts. then I still come out a winner this week, even if I lose all my NFL picks too

  24. Quote Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
    oops, sorry about that, i need to direct that question to IW? i dont know how i screwed that up. my fault
    Things are much better today Hulk. You see, the Vikings knew I put $750 on the over in their game and they helped me with a meaningless touchdown in the 4th quarter to put me up $550 for the week, and I'll finish at $650 or $450 at the very least idepending on the Dallas & NY Giants game. I love gambling

  25. Quote Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
    Yeah Hulk, this week has been a real bad one for me

    If Seattle and Minnesota come through with the over of 41 pts. then I still come out a winner this week, even if I lose all my NFL picks too
    i owe you a big one for this call. i blindly bet on it over frustration and made a pretty penny. i actually got the over at 39.5 (it was set at 40 and i bought 1/2 point to make it -120). anyways, thanks for the tip on this one.

    back to college football... wisconsin and ohio state are both really good at covering spreads and i dont think notre dame has covered one all season. i cant wait to see the boise state/fresno state spread. im thinking upset on this one. BSU looks pretty vulnerable with a poor pass defense, and im not impressed with Ian Johnson. i predict a high scoring game with fresno winning a close one.
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