NCAA spread time
- 11-01-2006, 08:30 PM
First of all, thank you Patriots for funding my supplement habits for the next 3 months
My picks this week include
My lock is the OVER (49 points) in the Arizona St. & Oregon St. game. PAC-10 defenses are horrible this year, money in the bank !
other picks I like are
New England - 3 OVER Indianapolis
Denver + 2.5 OVER Pittsburgh
Atlanta -5 OVER Detroit
West Virginia +1 OVER Louisville
Nebraska -6 OVER Missouri
Arkansas -2.5 OVER South Carolina
The over in the USC & Stanford game (46.5)
The over in Minnesota & San Francisco (42) - The Vikings alone should put up 31
Last edited by Iron Warrior; 11-01-2006 at 09:10 PM.
- 11-01-2006, 09:31 PM
Originally Posted by Rogue Drone
P.S. I'd kill a Stanford alum to play pro if I could get away with it LOL
- 11-01-2006, 09:40 PM
11-02-2006, 12:30 AM
looks good IW! my only disagreement is louisville over west virginia. im thinking louiville will win this. WV only has a run game and the cardinals have one of the best rush defenses in the nation. their pass defense struggles but WV isnt a threat with the pass. louisville will put up many points with brohm back and i doubt WV will be able to hang. ive watched WV games and havent been impressed. plus home field advantage for louisville = big win. im just thinking out loud here but i feel strongly about this.Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
p.s. - the over with OSU/ASU looks really solid. excellant choice! will definitely happen IF there arent any weather issues.
11-02-2006, 08:04 AM
WVU @ Louisville - One thing that is worth thinking about is the WVU pass defense. ECU threw for about 250 yards and would have had over 300 if it were not for many dropepd passes. ECU is really the only passing team WVU has faced. So the question I have is how will they handle Brohm?
11-02-2006, 04:04 PM
Brohm hasn't looked so hot since rushing back from that thumb injury. He's got just 1Td and 2 INTs in 2 games and it wasn't like either game was a blowout and they didnt need points. I usually love Louisville at home and I keep reading about UL's rush defense but I also remember Cincy rushing for over 200 yds against them and almost beating them at Papa John's a few weeks ago. Cincy's QB and RB are ok but they're no Slaton and White and Cincy is definitely no WVU. Brohm wasn't even supposed to be back for a few more weeks, definitely isn't 100% and the weather is supposed to be cold and very windy tonight. As much as UL at home has been money in the bank for me the past few years, I like WVU tonite.
11-02-2006, 04:51 PM
11-03-2006, 08:22 AM
As I expected, WVU pass defense got exposed. WVU had no answer for Brohm.
Also, Kent St. -14 is a solid play.
11-03-2006, 10:33 AM
kent state -14? i see it at -16. i put them in the following parlay (i bought at least 1/2 point if not more on every game but i think its solid):Originally Posted by size
kent state -13.5
my other plays this week are indiana again on a straight wager with arkansas and BC. im thinking i might change my money bet from v tech to BC. havent gambled on v tech yet cause betting against miami makes me feel uncomfortable. they can be a threat to any team (also, any team can be a threat to them). both miami and georgia have a problem playing at their opponets level. im starting to like BC over wake more and mare. i caught this at -2.5!!!
11-03-2006, 10:41 AM
Yes, sorry, I had it earlier as now the line has moved. Still looks solid to me. Buffalo is very bad.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-03-2006, 11:34 AM
I rarely bet unless I have a bit of extra money going around, so take this with a grain of salt...but I would be careful with the ACC in conference matchups, they have been unpredictable this year. VT and miami will be a great game though, miami has been playing to the level of their opponents this year, and you never know if the VT of last week will be there, or the VT from the boston college game. I think that miami D might be able to give Ore a tough time, and if Glennon has to go to the air its bad news. I was at the VT-Miami game last year and it was a HUGE game for miami, starting qb and rb went down and they still won by a couple TDs, in Blacksburg no less, definitely a tough environment. I am babbling, gonna stop now, I would say just listen to size.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-03-2006, 08:14 PM
Nope Warn - our starting QB was Kyle Wright and he played in last year's drubbing of VT (I made a thread on here that night). The starting RB at the beginning of the year was Tyrone Moss - he was out. Charlie Jones came in and had the game of his life. He's not played anywhere near that good IMO since that game.
Bottome line - we beat the living sh*t outta VT partly because Marcus Vick was just so bad.
Glennon seems to have the potential to pull a Vick - so I agree with you on this matchup - too tough to call.
I'm still predicting for Miami to lose. They havent' shown me that they can be disciplined enough win (and they still have Larry Coker as the head coach).
But - man, was that 27-7 win fun last year.
11-04-2006, 01:45 AM
Damn you're right Hulk, stupid turn overs and un-special teams killed them. I expected WV to be more explosive and that was the reason I went with them because they had been lights out on a weekly basis. I simply overrated them.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
P.S. the lock is money my friend, if not I go double or nothing next week and get it back, and some
11-04-2006, 02:14 AM
DAMNIT!!! i transferred my funds from one sports gambling website to another one. my new gambling sportspage only lists over/under bets on select games and ASU/OSU is off so i cannot bet on it. my old sportsbook lists the over/under for that game at 47. im really missing out on this but if i transfer back now, the money wont be in my acct in timeOriginally Posted by Iron Warrior
i have a lot invested in indiana and BC this week. i also put together what i thought was a worthless parlay but im 3 for 3 right now with air force, louisville, and the over in louisville's game. all i need now is georgia, arkansas and v tech to cover. if this happens, ill be a rich man!!!
11-05-2006, 12:06 AM
Well thank you Oregon State & Arizona State, the bank account swelled up a little more this week. I've hit my lock so my side work is done
I've gotta say I'm pretty pissed about the rich kids (Stanford) not being able to score one freaking TD ! Dammit they would have bought me a bottle of Powerfull LOL. USC 42-0 over Stanford & I just needed 5 more points.
11-05-2006, 02:18 AM
ouch... a pretty rough saturday for me between BC, Indiana, and Kent state, i lost quite a bit. luckily, i had a 2 game parlay with arkansas and v tech which covered nicely and recovered some losses. tomorrow, ill be rooting for the falcons over detroit. if this happens ill only be down $100 for the week and lets not discuss what happens if this doesnt work out in my favor
seriously, who would have though minnesota would have blown up like they did? and i really shouldnt have bet on kent state. i know nothing about the MAC. oh well, back to my conservative betting style until i have enough funds again for stupid risks
11-05-2006, 08:49 AM
Not sure what happened there. Up 14-0 and lose 41-14 to a terrible Buffalo team, it really hurt.
On the week, I had a winning record but barely came out ahead thanks to Kent St.
I won Air Force, Ball St, Hawaii, BYU, and Nevada.
Lost Kent State, SMU/UAB over.
5-2 and barely a winning weekend. I hope Kent St. loses ever game they play from this point forward.
Sorry about giving the Kent St. play. I thought it was one of the strongest plays this weekend.
Well, I was correct about Hawaii scoring at least 50 as they had 63. This team is different than other Hawaii teams in the manner that they can play on the road. I imagine lines will be inflated fromt his point forward.
11-05-2006, 11:41 AM
dont worry about it at all. although it did influence my decision, i should have looked into the game myself. i need to to stick with what works for me which is the meaningful games in bigger conferences. i respect your opinion and dont want this to affect your advice on future picks. you have too much knowledge of college football and i like hearing your picks.Originally Posted by size
im now back to my original startegy only betting money line on favored teams that i believe strongly will cover the spread. ill build my empire back slowly but surely.
11-06-2006, 09:30 AM
I know alot of people that thought the same thing. I hit Kent as soon as I saw it. I know a little about the MAC but I know alot about Buffalo and they are terrible. That game shouldn't have been close.Originally Posted by size
11-06-2006, 08:09 PM
That time again. Here's some of my preliminary picks
Boise St. -13.5 OVER San Jose State
The OVER (45) in Temple @ Penn St.
USC -7.5 OVER Oregon
Tennessee +5.5 OVER Arkansas
Denver -7 OVER Oakland
Indianapolis -11.5 OVER Buffalo
Philadelphia -7 OVER Washington
Right now my lock would be Denver -7 OVER Oakland
11-06-2006, 11:41 PM
already locked in...
Purdue @ Ill (pk)
Miami @ MD (-2)
Wake (+7) @ FSU
Latech @ Hawaii (-38)
Wyoming (+20 and rising) @ BYU
GT (-13) @ UNC
Tenn (opened +2.5, now +5.5 ) @ Ark
GA @ Aub (open -15, now -12.5)
ND @ Air Force o57
Temple (+35) @ PSU
11-07-2006, 09:43 AM
Oddsmakers have realized the earning potential that Hawaii has had for the past few weeks. Now a huge line is released and I imagine it will climb. I think there will be more value in the first half line than the game line.
We share the same feelings. I am still bothered by the result of that game.Originally Posted by yankees3
11-08-2006, 08:42 PM
11-08-2006, 09:05 PM
i would think that oakland will get shut out again. their offense is horendous and denvers D is top notch. their offense has been rolling lately but when they put up points, so do their oppenets. i dont wanna say anything about the other game cause i know nothing about buffalo except that they destroyed the packers last week. im curious to hear opinions on this.Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
11-09-2006, 04:49 AM
The buffalo-gb score is deceiving because buffalo didn't even have 200 yds of total offense in that game and GB had more than double that. 2 INTS (1 returned for a TD,1 in the endzone returned 70+ yds) and 2 fumbles were the difference in that game. Losman had 102 passing yds (thats with a 43 yd td pass) against GB's awesome pass defense, was sacked 5 times, fumbled once and Willis McGahee left the game with broken ribs. Their offense is horrible, they can't win on the road, and their defense just gave up 400+ yds to Green Bay at home (Unfortunately I'm in Buffalo's market so I get their games every week).
11-09-2006, 12:37 PM
Some games worth looking at:
Hawaii 1st half and 1st quarter
Nevada 1st half
Edit...........Louisville certainly decided to play only one half. I passed on it as I am doing for the entire weekend and I am thankful now.
Last edited by size; 11-10-2006 at 11:29 AM.
11-10-2006, 03:34 PM
I considered Indy -11.5 OVER Buffalo because the way the Colts have been playing and they have beaten elite teams on the road so Buffalo shouldn't pose much of threat even if they beat a weak Packers team. I'll go with Denver -7 OVER Oakland because I know how bad Oakland is and their win against Pittsburgh was a fluke. They won't get 6 turnovers against Denver or 2 defensive touochdowns like they did against Pittsburgh.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-11-2006, 11:50 AM
here we go... my picks this week are:
wisconsin over iowa
ohio state over NU (1st half)
texas over KSU (1st half)
georgia over auburn
south carolina over florida
NMSU over fresno
i have a feeling my gambling acct is going broke today
oh well, i only started with $500. i feel fortunate to have lasted this long. i peaked out at $1800 but its been downhill ever since with my big $$$ games. however, ive still picked many more games right.
11-11-2006, 12:22 PM
final card for sat ( a little bigger than normal thanks to Rutgers & BYU)
Ill (pk) over Purdue
Md -2 over Miami
Wake +7 over FSU
Hawaii -38 over Latech
Hawaii -21 over Latech (1st half)
Ga Tech -7 over UNC 1st half
Cal -13 over Arizona
SDST -8.5 over UNLV
teaser WVU -10.5 over Cincy and over 38
SC +20 over Florida
USC -1 over Oregon
Michigan -12 over Indiana
ND/Air Force o46
Boise -7 over SJS
Auburn -4.5 over Georgia
11-11-2006, 12:47 PM
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