NCAA spread time
- 11-06-2006, 10:41 PM
- 11-07-2006, 08:43 AM
Oddsmakers have realized the earning potential that Hawaii has had for the past few weeks. Now a huge line is released and I imagine it will climb. I think there will be more value in the first half line than the game line.
Originally Posted by yankees3
- 11-08-2006, 07:42 PM
Anyone think Indy -11.5 OVER Buffalo is a better lock then Denver -7 OVER Oakland ?
11-08-2006, 08:05 PM
i would think that oakland will get shut out again. their offense is horendous and denvers D is top notch. their offense has been rolling lately but when they put up points, so do their oppenets. i dont wanna say anything about the other game cause i know nothing about buffalo except that they destroyed the packers last week. im curious to hear opinions on this.Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
11-09-2006, 03:49 AM
The buffalo-gb score is deceiving because buffalo didn't even have 200 yds of total offense in that game and GB had more than double that. 2 INTS (1 returned for a TD,1 in the endzone returned 70+ yds) and 2 fumbles were the difference in that game. Losman had 102 passing yds (thats with a 43 yd td pass) against GB's awesome pass defense, was sacked 5 times, fumbled once and Willis McGahee left the game with broken ribs. Their offense is horrible, they can't win on the road, and their defense just gave up 400+ yds to Green Bay at home (Unfortunately I'm in Buffalo's market so I get their games every week).
11-09-2006, 11:37 AM
Some games worth looking at:
Hawaii 1st half and 1st quarter
Nevada 1st half
Edit...........Louisville certainly decided to play only one half. I passed on it as I am doing for the entire weekend and I am thankful now.
Last edited by size; 11-10-2006 at 10:29 AM.
11-10-2006, 02:34 PM
I considered Indy -11.5 OVER Buffalo because the way the Colts have been playing and they have beaten elite teams on the road so Buffalo shouldn't pose much of threat even if they beat a weak Packers team. I'll go with Denver -7 OVER Oakland because I know how bad Oakland is and their win against Pittsburgh was a fluke. They won't get 6 turnovers against Denver or 2 defensive touochdowns like they did against Pittsburgh.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-11-2006, 10:50 AM
here we go... my picks this week are:
wisconsin over iowa
ohio state over NU (1st half)
texas over KSU (1st half)
georgia over auburn
south carolina over florida
NMSU over fresno
i have a feeling my gambling acct is going broke today
oh well, i only started with $500. i feel fortunate to have lasted this long. i peaked out at $1800 but its been downhill ever since with my big $$$ games. however, ive still picked many more games right.
11-11-2006, 11:22 AM
final card for sat ( a little bigger than normal thanks to Rutgers & BYU)
Ill (pk) over Purdue
Md -2 over Miami
Wake +7 over FSU
Hawaii -38 over Latech
Hawaii -21 over Latech (1st half)
Ga Tech -7 over UNC 1st half
Cal -13 over Arizona
SDST -8.5 over UNLV
teaser WVU -10.5 over Cincy and over 38
SC +20 over Florida
USC -1 over Oregon
Michigan -12 over Indiana
ND/Air Force o46
Boise -7 over SJS
Auburn -4.5 over Georgia
11-11-2006, 11:47 AM
Ohhh - I think Wake over FSU is a bad pick. The Noles are starting to pick up steam.
11-11-2006, 12:06 PM
Just wondering, do most of you guys find that picking NFL games is easier then NCAA games, or is it just me ?
Hulk: Start picking more NFL games bro, you're account will swell up
Yankees: How the hell did you get Boise -7 OVER SJSU & USC-1 OVER Oregon? I could only get Boise at 13.5 & USC at -7 ! You gotta hook us up with the bookie
11-11-2006, 12:28 PM
looks like he did a 7 point teaser play. i absolutely hate teasers cause 1 or more games will be far off from whats expected.Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
IW, i mostly do college football cause i enjoy watching it much more. ill do 1 or 2 pro bets but its just not as much fun. i gamble mostly for entertainment and if i win, then thats a bonus. what i should do is just follow your lock picks. for as long as i followed your "lock" choices, you are a perfect 4 for 4. keep it up!!!
11-11-2006, 12:36 PM
College is a little more fun to watch, but pro is where the $$$ is at If Denver pulls through then I'll actually be 8-2 on my locks this year Last year I was 13-8 including the Post-Season. The hardest picks are the first 3 weeks and the last 3 weeks because many teams change their stripes at those points of the season. P.S. the Colts & Raiders games are a safe bet most of the time when you're in doubtOriginally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-12-2006, 02:07 AM
DAMN IT!!! 1 game away from $1000. check out this parlay copied and pasted from my sportsbook account:
Parlay (6 Teams) 11/10/06 02:03 ET
20.00/1063.12 Result: Wager Lost
LSU 28 11/11/06 (19:55 ET)
Alabama +18 (-105)
ArizonaU 24 11/11/06 (15:35 ET)
Auburn 15 11/11/06 (12:35 ET)
Georgia +12.5 (-105)
FresnoSt 23 11/11/06 (17:05 ET)
NewMexicoSt +11.5 (-105)
Northwestern 10 11/11/06 (15:45 ET)
OhioSt -23 (-105)
Florida 17 11/11/06 (15:50 ET)
SCarolina +12.5 (-105)
all i needed was 5 more points from either cal or arizona in the last 12 minutes of the game. now cal had a play where a receiver caught the ball inside the 10 and fell down (not tackled, lost his balance) inside the 3 to make it 1st and goal. well, cal settles for a field goal. THEN, they put it in the end zone with 2 minutes remaining BUT the TD is overturned from the replay booth. 3 plays later, interception and game over 1 more score would have given me over $1000. so close and in the end, i wind up with NOTHING from these plays
11-12-2006, 02:28 AM
Ill (pk) over Purdue (L)
Md -2 over Miami (L)
Wake +7 over FSU (W)
Hawaii -38 over Latech (W)
Hawaii -21 over Latech (1st half) (L)
Ga Tech -7 over UNC 1st half (PUSH)
Cal -13 over Arizona (L)
SDST -8.5 over UNLV (W)
teaser WVU -10.5 over Cincy and over 38 (W)
6 team teaser: (L)
SC +20 over Florida (w)
USC -1 over Oregon(w)
Michigan -12 over Indiana(w)
ND/Air Force o46 (w)
Boise -7 over SJS (l)
Auburn -4.5 over Georgia (l)
4W 5L 1 TIE but it wasn't so bad as the teaser was a small wager and I went big on hawaii -38 and wake +7.
KC (ML +105) over Miami
SD (-1) over Cincy
Bal (-7) over Tenn (got it at open)
NYJ (+10.5) over NE
Chi +3 over NYG (got it at open)
NO (ML +185) over Pitt
Den (-9.5) over Oak
Kansas City Chiefs/Miami Dolphins (O 32.5)
Hou vs Jax (-3.5)
Balt (+0) vs Tenn
Buff vs Indy (-4.5)
NO (+11.5) vs Pitt
Wash (+14) vs Phily
If what I play may look different from the lines some of you may get it's because I check the lines right at the open on sunday (college) or late sunday/early monday (NFL) and immediately jump on ones that I know don't look right (ie. Chicago opened as a 3 pt dog ) and follow line movements on ones I think will move in my favor (wake opened at +7 and ended up at +9.5 by kickoff)
Last edited by yankees3; 11-12-2006 at 01:04 PM.
11-12-2006, 11:22 AM
The receiver play ****ing killed me. I'm a Cal fan. The QB for Cal (Longshore) played far worse then he was expected to. That's tough luck Hulk, most PAC-10 games are almost a guarantee to hit the over.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
11-13-2006, 09:06 AM
I do much better on college than pros. I find NFL to be much more difficult and my theory on this is that in the NFL teams are more evenly matched talent wise. Consequently, the more even dispersion of talent makes it more difficult to cap. I know most people find the opposite to be true(NFL easier to cap than college)Originally Posted by Iron Warrior
11-13-2006, 07:40 PM
I hate betting the NFL. At least in college you'll get a few games each week that are easy to cap and teams that you can ride all year long (i.e Hawaii & BYU ). I'm laying off the NFL a bit (2 games a week tops) and concentrating on college (conference championships and bowl season are a few weeks away)Originally Posted by yankees3
11-14-2006, 09:47 AM
Hawaii and BYU ATS have been great, 7-1 for Hawaii and 9-1 for BYU. Here are two other teams that have been great ATS, Nevada at 9-1 and San Jose St(especially at home) 6-2.Originally Posted by yankees3
I have been riding these teams all year. Only betting these teams would have resulted in a 31-5 record thus far. Problem is, now more people are starting to see these trends and ride these teams. So lines are starting to get inflated. One thing I think is important to note, is that these teams are not the big name teams or big game teams. instead, they are teams that win and win often. They play in the WAC and the Mountain West both (great for betting in my mind).
11-14-2006, 11:59 AM
i think BYU against UNM this week is pretty risky. for the record, i attend UNM, and i hate our football program but you never know which lobo team is gonna show up. we are very inconsistent.Originally Posted by size
11-14-2006, 07:30 PM
Indianapolis -1 OVER Dallas ( I can't believe it's only 1 pt. ! ) This is my lock of the week and 70% of my total is being bet on this game.
Chicago -7 OVER NY Jets
New England -6 OVER Green Bay
The OVER (51 pts.) In Cincinnati & New Orleans
South Florida +17 OVER Louisville
San Jose St. +25 OVER Hawaii
Tennessee -8.5 OVER Vanderbilt
THE Ohio St. -7 OVER Michigan
Nevada -20 OVER Louisiana Tech
IN COLLEGE BASKETBALL
Stanford -13 OVER San Jose State (Game starts at 8PM so if you have faith in me and read this before then go to your sports book )
11-16-2006, 10:39 AM
Would I be allowed to ask the question of which sports books you guys bet with on here? I've actually read some books on sports betting about 6 months ago (used to be a big online poker winner, i'm not just some crazy gambling addict) ha I've always wanted to get into it a bit, just making small $10 wagers on a couple games here and there nothing to crazy. Also do you have to be 21+ on most sites...? b/c then i would be out of luck.
11-16-2006, 10:55 AM
i have accounts set up ay sportsbetting.com and sportsbook usa.com...Originally Posted by gators52
if you join, you should say i referred you, and we both get a bonus! ill set aside out college football differences for now
11-16-2006, 01:57 PM
haha do u have like AIM or an e-mail i can talk to you on about this, i wouldn't mind making some wagers to make some of these games more interesting.Originally Posted by WannaBeHulk
Also do you prefer one site over the other, or do you just use two different ones incase they have different betting lines?
Yea the bonus sounds good lol i'll let you know before i sign up
11-16-2006, 04:33 PM
yeah, my AIM and email is firstname.lastname@example.org. i dont go on AIM much anymore cause i always get strangers from bb.com wanting advice.Originally Posted by gators52
as far as the websites go, i like sportsbetting.com better. more props, easy to navigate, and every friday, all bets are -105. plus, i know they payout since ive received many checks from them havent tried cashing out at sportsbookusa.com just yet. and yes, the reason i have accounts at both is to take advantage of spread changes.
11-16-2006, 08:32 PM
Pinnacle (the best!) and BetjamaicaOriginally Posted by gators52
11-16-2006, 08:35 PM
With you on all except cinny/NO, Hawaii and I got the other sideOriginally Posted by Iron Warrior
on the OSU/Michigan game (GO BLUE!!!!!!)
11-17-2006, 12:18 AM
Looks like the juice is much less at pinnacle, any downsides to pinnacle?Originally Posted by yankees3
11-17-2006, 11:14 AM
Just looking over some spreads right now (not sure if i'm going to start my sports betting just yet) but how do these ones look?
Tennessee -7.5 (-103) Over Vandy
South FL +17 (-102) over Lousiville
NC State -3.5 (+101) over UNC
Auburn -3 (+101) Over Alabama (shaky on this one, it's at alabama, but i think people are really really underrating auburn right now)
Also Pinnacle seems to be a good book to start out at, i dunno if you get referal bonuses or not, but if you do, someone shout me your username if you want some bonus money
11-17-2006, 11:35 AM
those are all pretty questionable IMO. im not playing any of those games. i really like maryland and iowa though. and, i gotta bet on my buckeyes!Originally Posted by gators52
11-17-2006, 11:49 AM
Have a winner, Central Michigan -3. CMU wins by double digits, I hope.
11-17-2006, 04:38 PM
None at all. They're one of the highest rated sportsbooks around. Never had any problems with deposits or payouts. Check SBR - Sportsbook Review - Online Sports Betting Research, Best Online Sportsbooks . They have ratings for all the books along with any document complaints or legal problems any of them have had in the past.Originally Posted by gators52
11-17-2006, 04:48 PM
I was looked at it while I was getting screwed by Pitt in the 2nd half last night and passed because I saw Northern Ill is something like 8-1 ATS vs CMU over the last 9 meetings. But Wolfe is banged up for this game with shoulder problems, has looked like crap the past few weeks and this is the MAC after all so all trends go out the window. I put a little something on CMU and if anybody wants some you better hurry, it's up to -4 and rising.Originally Posted by size
11-17-2006, 06:03 PM
spread is moving in NIU's favor now and fast!!! did something happen that i dont know about because im not so sure i wanna bet on this anymore.Originally Posted by yankees3
11-17-2006, 07:54 PM
CMU is looking bad early. This pisses me off. I play small on East. Michigan +11 but bigger on CMU. CMU is costing me the day.
MAC SCREWS ME AGAIN!!!
11-17-2006, 08:27 PM
Originally Posted by size
MAC screws everybody. A buddy of mine that actually does ok in the MAC says the key to betting MAC games is look at the game, see what makes sense and go the other way. As I'm typing this CMU is down 21-0 and just missed a field goal. Out of conference the teams play pretty much how you expect them to but in conference the games are played in the twilight zone.
11-18-2006, 01:59 AM
ok, havent placed any bets yet. im contemplating ONE of these, i do not wanna bet on both. these are both 1st quarter spreads that look really good:
navy -7 to temple
notre dame-7 to army
im torn on which one to choose, they look equally as good to me. 1st person to respond with a team, thats who im going with. its in your hands AM... navy or ND?
if no one responds by morning, ill flip a coin...
11-18-2006, 10:49 AM
2 weeks ago it was Kent State, now CMU. I am sticking with the WAC and Mountain West which I am doing great in.Originally Posted by yankees3
11-18-2006, 11:17 AM
added a teaser:
MD +14.5 over BC
SCarolina -8.5 over Middle Tenn
Wisky -31 over temple
11-18-2006, 02:27 PM
I made my first online sports bet. $20 on Michigan +7 at -109, I dont think it's too bad of a bet plus it will give me something to cheer for in the best game of the decade in which i dont care about either team.
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