Well so much for CiaNN's sources and somehow they were claiming their "inside sources" said Melenia, Jared and all his insiders said Dump is coming to his senses after trying to talk him out of it. Like CiaNN knows what Melenia and Dump talk about all the time....
Just 48 minutes go
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My favorite is the articles popping up about Melania planning to divorce him when he leaves office. WTF does that have to do with anything?
I'm a big fan of Feynman - one of my customers did an interesting video on WIRED Youtube about explaining CRISPR to 4 different levels of education (4 year old, teenager/hs, college, post-doc). There's a huge difference between "knowing" and "understanding" that is overlooked far too often in this era of instant access to information (regardless if it's right or wrong).
One of my questions to those who are so quick to toss out the value of scientific consensus with regards to climate change...how can you then justify accepting the same consensus with all of the other theories we accept? Gravity, evolution, buoyancy, laws of motion - etc?
It is a mental leap I have a hard time understanding. Genuinely curious. Do they feel qualified enough to discern that climate change data is not of the same quality as the other principles are built on? Hard for me to imagine that
Yes, knowing and understanding are big differences. Feynman used to say how his father taught him that knowing the names people used for something was basically useless - it didn't mean that you understood anything about the subject just because you knew the names. When you watch him speak, it is easy to miss just how advanced his intelligence was. He was almost childlike at times, and always normal in his speech - but this is a guy who was doing advanced mathematics before he was a teenager and helped develop the nuclear bomb before he even had his degree.
First, I'm not quick to toss out the consensus theories on climate change. I've asked numerous people who believe there is science behind global warming to provide me with the evidence, and to include any experiments that have tested the theories being proposed. I have read numerous attempts at "evidence" that these people have proposed. Most of the "studies" I've seen are actually models and applying the scrutiny to those models that we would apply to supplement studies on this board will obliterate their methodologies. And applying Feynman's standard of experimental testing of the idea ....well there isn't any of that. Granted, such experiments would be difficult to conduct - but that doesn't change the fact that they are still, as Feynman says, the sole source of the validity of the idea.
Gravity, the laws of motion, etc. - these are all things you can experiment with yourself, TBH. I have a friend who uses this same argument with the earth being flat for instance, why do we believe the consensus on that? I don't. And you will never hear someone say, "The earth is flat because everyone agrees it is flat" - which they did at one point all agree it was flat. You can see for yourself through experiment, observation and thought. Watch a boat come over the horizon and you see the mast before the boat comes up. Climb a tree and notice you can see further at the top of the tree than the bottom - something that wouldn't happen on a flat world. Place two sticks in the ground and measure the shadows - something that allows for the accurate calculation of the circumference of the earth with much greater accuracy than you would expect.
Likewise, no one ever says that there is gravity because there is a consensus that there is gravity. They will provide experimental evidence and reasoning - some of which you can test for yourself. If you drop something, it goes toward the earth with a great degree of predictability. If you drop two objects, they fall at the same rate once you account for resistance/friction. You can observe a terminal velocity. You can observe the motions of bodies in the sky and calculate their distances/pull on each other based on their motions.
Basically science doesn't prove things. It only disproves them. All you can do is make a guess, and then test that guess with an experiment. If your observations in the experiment do not support your guess, your guess was wrong. If you cannot test the guess, you have no proof that it is right or wrong, and you have not even been able to conduct the scientific method on it - thus it is not science, only a guess.
Interestingly enough, this is also the same criticism of one of the most advanced theories in physics - string theory. It is criticized as not being actual science because we have no way of testing it through experiment, in spite of all the mathematical support for the theory that has been created.
In other words, if someone has actual evidence of a theory, they explain and use that evidence to convince people of their theory - and you should never believe something that someone says you should believe because of consensus. If they cannot explain it and the evidence and reasoning simply, then they don't understand it (another Feymanism)- and if they don't understand it, how much of an expert are they really?
For instance, how would you feel if your mother was being treated for cancer and the doctor saw it and just said, "lets hit it with radiation" and you said, "Well, I read online that this might be a different type of cancer and that XYZ may be better to treat it" and he just said, "Well, this is what everyone does, it's the consensus among doctors."
vs. him responding, "I understand where you're coming from and you raise a good point. But XYZ treatment also does this and this which is risky and the radiation, while it may not have that one benefit you mention, has these 2 benefits which are typically more important to the outcome because.....and here is some evidence of what has been observed in both cases."
Who would you trust more?
Just for the record- because they lacked evidence to indict Trump directly doesn't absolve them all from wrongdoing...
The investigation garnered 199 criminal charges, 37 indictments or guilty pleas, and 5 prison sentences.
I'd say that at least found SOMETHING - no? To call the entire thing a hoax is to be willfully ignorant imo.
I didn't say Trump has never done anything wrong. I'm sure he has, we all have at some point. They made a claim that he was colluding with Russia, and they pushed it heavily with no evidence, and in the end were not able to create enough evidence to support their claim in a court of law. 199 criminal charges of other people, 37 indictments, 5 prison sentences makes no difference, they weren't able to tie it to him at all. It was an utter sham that he had anything to do with it based on the evidence they would have gone to great lengths to dig up. Is it possible that they just couldn't find the evidence? Sure.
But they made the claim, and they should be held accountable for doing so without evidence. Otherwise, I could say you killed Joe Smith and you could be prosecuted right now. There's no evidence, but I'm making a claim, so you're guilty without evidence until you can prove that Joe Smith is alive and well. I know this is an exaggeration but logically it's the same type of jump and it is very scary and un-American. And the corruption that we let them do this with no evidence is astounding. Just like the Ukraine stuff - based on a docier they KNEW was false. But nobody cares, no one is going to pay for that, it's now acceptable. And people think Trump is the most corrupt guy in the room?
And it is also not the way a civilized society goes after criminals. You don't fabricate a crime that allows you to investigate a bunch of things that then lead you to other criminals. Well, apparently the FBI did with Trump, but lets take this to a more relatable level. Let's say you're out for a spin one night. I am a police officer and I randomly pull you over....I say you were speeding even though you were not. When I approach the car, everything is normal and nothing I can really do, so I claim that I smell alcohol on your breath and ask you to step out of the car...and perform a sobriety test. You pass, but I say you seemed to lose balance so I decided to investigate further and put you in my cruiser while I search your car for any evidence you were drinking. I go in there, and you have, say, a folding knife. Your knife is 3.5" long and the city we are in has a 3" limit on knives. Now I'm arresting you for possession of a deadly weapon. Is that OK?
I mean, I didn't NOT find anything. I didn't have any reason to pull you over, but I sure kept looking for reasons anyway. You weren't doing anything wrong per se. Ultimately you may have been driving through town and just unaware that this city had a knife limit, where the surrounding cities did not. The cop would have never known if he didn't make up a reason to pull you over and continue to search.
And how deep does someone have to search to find that you have done something wrong if they want to? It's sketchy.